WYNN Should I Buy
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WYNN is not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. The stock is technically oversold (setting up for a bounce), but momentum is still deteriorating (MACD getting more negative), insiders are selling aggressively, and a major catalyst (Q4 earnings) is imminent—making the risk of buying “right now” unattractive versus waiting for confirmation.
Price/Trend: WYNN closed at 107.84 (-1.34%), sitting just below/near the first support zone (S1 108.01) with next support at ~105.32. The pivot resistance is much higher (112.37), implying the stock needs to reclaim ~112 to look healthier.
Momentum: RSI(6) ~17.95 = deeply oversold, which often precedes short-term mean reversion bounces. However, MACD histogram is -0.517 and negatively expanding, signaling downside momentum is still strengthening, so “oversold” is not the same as “bottomed.”
Moving Averages: Converging MAs suggest compression/indecision, but with MACD worsening, the near-term bias remains bearish until price recaptures the pivot area.
Pattern-based forward view: Similar-pattern stats imply modest upside over a week (+0.88%) but a negative bias over a month (-1.64%), aligning with a weak intermediate trend.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Upcoming earnings event: Wynn will release Q4 2025 results on Feb 12, 2026 (after close) with a conference call the same day—this is a near-term catalyst that can reset the stock if results/outlook surprise positively.
Analyst backdrop remains supportive: Multiple Buy/Overweight ratings with high price targets (roughly 139–164 range recently) can provide institutional support if fundamentals cooperate.
Technical setup for a bounce: Deep oversold RSI increases probability of a short-term rebound if selling pressure fades near 105–108 support.
Momentum is still bearish: MACD is negative and worsening, increasing the risk that “oversold” becomes “oversold and keeps falling.”
Insider activity: Insiders are selling, with selling amount up ~166% over the last month—this is a meaningful negative signal versus buying aggressively now.
Earnings gap risk: With earnings imminent, the stock can gap down on guidance/hold rates/consumer softness (especially given recent sector “baggage and negativity” commentary).
Hedge fund read-through: Hedge funds are described as neutral (no strong accumulation signal).
Latest reported quarter (2025/Q3): Revenue grew to ~$1.833B (+8.29% YoY), showing top-line growth. However, profitability weakened sharply: Net income ~$88.3M (down ~375.61% YoY) and EPS $0.85 (down ~393.10% YoY). Gross margin improved to ~32.57% (+34.75% YoY), suggesting better unit economics, but the earnings drop indicates other costs/one-offs/financing impacts likely pressured the bottom line. Overall: growth exists, but earnings quality/consistency is the key concern heading into Q4.
Recent trend: Analysts have been broadly constructive (Buy/Overweight maintained), with price targets mostly raised or reiterated at high levels; the only notable recent negative change is JPMorgan’s slight trim to $143 from $145 (still Overweight). Other recent targets include Barclays $143, Morgan Stanley $139, UBS $148, Texas Capital initiation at $155, and Jefferies as high as $164. Wall Street pros: Premium-focused portfolio, perceived share gains in Las Vegas/Macau, and upside potential tied to Macau momentum and future growth projects. Wall Street cons: Sector sentiment remains heavy/negative per JPM commentary, and near-term fundamentals in the broader gaming/leisure space were described as “muted,” raising the bar for earnings/guidance.
