Should I Buy WULF? WULF 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Terawulf Inc (WULF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

14.290

1 Day change

19.88%

52 Week Range

17.050

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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Not a good buy right now. Despite bullish longer-term moving averages and bullish options positioning, WULF just had a sharp -8% down day and is trading below the key pivot (13.876) with weakening upside momentum (MACD histogram still >0 but contracting). Combined with a surge in insider selling and deteriorating profitability metrics in the latest quarter, the near-term risk/reward is not compelling for an impatient entry at current levels (~13.34).

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: Closed at 13.34 after a large -8.05% regular-session drop, now below the pivot (13.876), indicating near-term bearish pressure. Moving averages remain structurally bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting the bigger-picture trend is still up, but the latest selloff signals a loss of momentum. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0762) but positively contracting, consistent with upside momentum fading and a potential consolidation/pullback phase. RSI(6) at 40.816 is neutral-to-soft (not oversold), implying there may still be room for weakness before a strong technical bounce is favored. Levels: Immediate support S1 = 12.671 (key near-term line). If that fails, next support S2 = 11.926. Resistance overhead starts at the pivot 13.876, then R1 = 15.081. For a clean “buy-now” setup, reclaiming and holding above 13.876 would improve the entry quality; at current price it’s still trading under that decision line.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment/Positioning: Put-call ratios are notably low (OI PCR 0.53; volume PCR 0.23), which is generally bullish and suggests traders are positioned more for upside than downside. Volatility: Very high volatility regime (HV ~106%; 30D IV ~109%). IV percentile ~59.84 suggests options are not at extreme highs versus the past year, but still elevated in absolute terms. Activity: Today’s options volume (124,903) is below the 30-day average (74.6% of avg), implying bullish positioning exists but today wasn’t an outsized ‘panic-hedge’ or ‘chase-upside’ day. Net: options lean bullish, but not enough to override the current price breakdown and insider selling signal.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

suggests the broader trend has been constructive despite the recent hit.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

increases the odds of follow-through to support (12.
before a durable bounce.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth: Revenue rose to $50.578M (+86.92% YoY), showing strong top-line expansion. Profitability/quality: Net income was -$455.05M (loss) and EPS -$1.13. While the dataset labels these as 'increased' YoY, the absolute level indicates very weak earnings quality and substantial losses. Margins: Gross margin dropped to 13.75 (down -214.68% YoY per provided data), signaling significant margin compression and/or unfavorable cost dynamics. Bottom line: Strong revenue growth, but profitability and margins are trending the wrong way—this weakens the case for an immediate buy after a major down day.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Wall Street has stayed broadly constructive with multiple Buy-equivalent views and high price targets. Keefe Bruyette upgraded to Outperform with a $24 target (from $9.50), citing a major BTC-mining to HPC leasing mix shift and large potential EBITDA growth through 2027. Roth Capital raised its target to $26 and B. Riley lifted to $23 after Q3, highlighting a larger power/site pipeline and expanding HPC contract targets (250–500MW). Rosenblatt maintained Buy but trimmed its target to $20 from $24 due to tougher mining competition and BTC pressure, while still emphasizing more profitable HPC hosting. Pros view: Strong upside optionality if HPC/hosting scales and the company executes on capacity/contracting; multiple expansion potential. Cons view: Mining competition and BTC-linked cyclicality; execution risk on HPC buildout/contracting; financials still show heavy losses and margin pressure. Influential/congress trading: No recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential-figure trading info provided.

WULF Should I Buy