WPC Should I Buy
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BUY now. WPC is in a bullish technical uptrend (stacked moving averages and improving MACD), fundamentals are showing solid YoY growth in the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3), options positioning is skewed bullish (low put/call open interest), and Congress trading shows meaningful net buying with no recent sales. With price sitting just under the first resistance (~$70.05) after closing at $69.75, the setup supports an immediate entry for an impatient buyer targeting a near-term breakout and continued grind higher into the Feb 10 earnings window.
Trend/structure: Bullish. The moving averages are positively stacked (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), typically signaling an established uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0753) and expanding, confirming strengthening upside momentum. RSI(6) is 61.92 (neutral-to-slightly-bullish), not yet overbought. Levels: Pivot at 69.076 is now below price, acting as near support. Immediate resistance is R1 at 70.054 (a breakout level). If cleared, next resistance is R2 at 70.658. Downside supports: S1 68.098 then S2 67.494. Tactical read: Price is close to the breakout zone (near $70). The technical bias favors buying now rather than waiting, with risk defined against the 69.08 pivot/68.10 support area.
Bullish tape: stacked moving averages + improving MACD supports trend continuation.
Event window: Next earnings (QDEC
on 2026-02-10 after hours can act as a catalyst if guidance/FFO narrative is constructive.
Financial momentum (latest reported 2025/Q3): revenue +8.54% YoY, net income +26.23% YoY, EPS +25.49% YoY.
Congress trading: 4 purchases and 0 sales in the last 90 days (large reported dollar range), a supportive behavioral signal.
News flow broadly supportive/neutral: dividend/tax updates and coverage highlighting income appeal and post-2023 reset growth potential.
Overhead resistance: Price is just below a clear resistance level (~$70.05); failure to break can mean a short-term stall/pullback.
Analyst caution on valuation/complexity: prior downgrade rationale cited valuation already reflecting positives and a complex tenant list / lumpy transactions, plus potential need to issue equity again.
Macro sensitivity: As a net-lease REIT, WPC remains rate-sensitive; risk-off days can cap upside even in an uptrend.
News items are not major upside shocks (mostly dividend/tax info and comparative yield commentary), so momentum relies more on execution and market tone.
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3. Growth trends were strong YoY: Revenue $431.3M (+8.54%), Net Income $141.0M (+26.23%), EPS $0.64 (+25.49%), Gross Margin 92.01% (+3.66%). This combination points to improving profitability and operating leverage versus last year, supportive for a dividend-focused REIT narrative going into the next earnings season (QDEC 2025 on 2026-02-10).
Recent trend: Mixed-to-cautious. Price targets cluster around ~$67–$74, implying limited-to-moderate upside from $69.75. Key changes: JPMorgan kept Overweight but cut PT to $74 (from $79). RBC downgraded to Sector Perform with $69 PT (valuation viewed as full), then later nudged PT to $70 while staying Sector Perform. Evercore stayed In Line with a slight PT trim to $71. Barclays remains Underweight with PT raised to $67. Wall Street pros: strong investment volumes and steadier REIT outlook; some firms still see upside (JPM Overweight). Wall Street cons: valuation viewed as fairly priced near current levels, tenant/transaction complexity, and potential equity issuance risk. Overall, the Street view is not euphoric, but the balance of ratings/targets supports a modest-upside, income-plus-trend continuation case rather than a bearish one.
