Should I Buy WNC? WNC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Wabash National Corp (WNC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

11.030

1 Day change

0.64%

52 Week Range

14.360

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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WNC is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The setup lacks strong bullish signals (no Intellectia signals, neutral-to-weak technicals), sentiment from positioning is unfavorable (hedge funds aggressively selling), and fundamentals are deteriorating sharply heading into an earnings report with a negative EPS estimate. I would avoid new buys here; if already holding, this data supports reducing exposure rather than adding.

Technical Analysis

Price closed at 10.13 (+1.91% vs prior close 9.94) and is sitting very near the pivot (10.177), indicating a market in balance rather than a clean uptrend.

MACD: Histogram is negative (-0.0698) and still below zero; while contraction can hint selling pressure is easing, it is not a confirmed bullish reversal.
RSI(6): 53.786 (neutral), no momentum edge for an immediate entry.
Moving averages: Converging, consistent with consolidation/indecision rather than trend continuation.
Levels: Immediate support S1=9.721 (then S2=9.438). Resistance R1=10.633 (then R2=10.916). With price near pivot, upside is capped unless it cleanly breaks and holds above 10.63; downside risk to 9.72 is meaningful for a near-term entry. Pattern-based forecast provided is modestly positive over a month (+4.52%), but near-term edge is weak (next day ~flat).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options positioning is call-heavy (OI put/call 0.27), which can be interpreted as relatively bullish/less hedged. However, today’s options activity is extremely thin (total volume 10; put volume 0), so sentiment read-through is low confidence. Volatility: 30D IV ~37.79 vs HV ~34.41, but IV percentile 4.8 / IV rank 7.32 suggests options are cheap relative to the stock’s own recent history—good for buyers of optionality, but it does not itself confirm upside in the stock.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

if buyers regain control.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: no AI Stock Picker signal and no SwingMax signal; nothing is flagging this as a high-conviction buy setup today.
- Hedge fund activity: "Hedge Funds are Selling" with selling amount up 1381.77% QoQ—strong negative positioning signal.
- Fundamentals show significant deterioration (revenue down double-digits YoY, margins compressed), increasing risk into earnings.
- Earnings expectation shown is negative EPS (Est: -0.7600), which can keep the stock under pressure if confirmed.
- No supportive news flow in the last week (no clear near-term narrative catalyst).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.

Revenue: 381.595M, down -17.77% YoY (clear contraction).
Net Income: 39.977M, down -112.11% YoY (major deterioration versus prior year).
EPS: 0.97, down -112.88% YoY.
Gross Margin: 3.39, down -70.37% YoY (significant margin compression). Overall, the growth trend is decisively negative in the most recent reported quarter, which undermines confidence in buying ahead of the next earnings event.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a recent trend summary cannot be confirmed from this dataset. From the available data alone, the main "Wall Street-style" pro is potential mean reversion/valuation appeal at a small-cap market cap (~$410M) and call-heavy open interest; the cons dominate: sharp YoY deterioration in revenue/margins/earnings and heavy hedge-fund selling. Politicians/congress: no recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days; insider trend is neutral (no significant recent insider buying to offset the negative signals).

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast WNC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WNC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 10.960

Low

Averages

High

Current: 10.960

Low

Averages

High

DA Davidson

Michael Shlisky

Neutral

maintain

AI Analysis

2025-06-23

Reason

DA Davidson

Michael Shlisky

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-06-23

maintain

Neutral

Reason

DA Davidson analyst Michael Shlisky raised the firm's price target on Wabash to $9.50 from $7.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm notes that the May U.S. trailer-industry data - an important read-through for Wabash - saw orders rising 12% y/y off last year's near-historic lows but remaining very challenged, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The trailer-market outlook continues to deteriorate as fleet profitability remains challenged and as tax, interest-rate, and policy changes are in flux, the firm added.

DA Davidson

Michael Shlisky

Hold

Maintains

$18 → $14

2025-02-24

Reason

DA Davidson

Michael Shlisky

Price Target

$18 → $14

2025-02-24

Maintains

Hold

Reason

DA Davidson lowered the firm's price target on Wabash to $14 from $18 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. ACT Research data for January showed that orders were up 51% Y/Y for the month, thanks to very easy comps, but this still ranks in the lower half of the Januarys of the last 15 years, while backlogs were down 39% Y/Y and shipments were down 26% Y/Y, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm is hopeful that conditions could turn soon, but there has not been much evidence of this yet, DA Davidson added.

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WNC Should I Buy

WNC Should I Buy

Should You Buy Wabash National Corp (WNC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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