WDS Should I Buy
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Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. WDS is in a strong uptrend, but the setup is stretched (RSI extremely overbought) and price is sitting just below near-term resistance (R1 ~17.79). With no Intellectia buy signals today and pattern-based odds pointing to a slight next-day dip, the risk/reward favors holding off rather than buying at 17.62.
Trend is bullish but overheated. Moving averages are stacked bullishly (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), confirming an established uptrend. MACD histogram is positive (0.202) but contracting, suggesting upside momentum is slowing. RSI_6 at 84.3 signals an overbought condition—often associated with short-term pullbacks or churn. Key levels: pivot support ~16.90 (near-term ‘line in the sand’), deeper support S1 ~16.01; resistance R1 ~17.79 then R2 ~18.35. Current price (17.62) is closer to resistance than support, making immediate entry less attractive.
Record annual production in 2025 (198.8 MMboe), exceeding guidance, supports confidence in operational delivery. Scarborough Energy Project is ~94% complete and on track for first LNG delivery in Q4 2026—clear medium-term catalyst. Hedge fund activity is a notable positive: buying amount up ~180.6% quarter-over-quarter, suggesting growing institutional appetite.
Latest reported quarter showed weaker top-line and volumes: Q4 revenue $3.04B, down ~12.6% YoY; Q4 production down ~5% YoY and sales volumes down ~3%. Management attributed weakness to seasonal weather impacts and reduced demand—still a near-term fundamental headwind. Technically, the stock is overbought and close to resistance, increasing the odds of an immediate fade rather than clean upside follow-through.
Latest quarter (Q4 2025, reported 2026-01-28): Revenue of $3.04B (-12.6% YoY) and production of 48.9 MMboe (~-5% YoY) with sales volumes -3% indicate a soft quarter (seasonal/weather and demand impacts cited). Offsetting that, full-year 2025 production was a record (198.8 MMboe) and above guidance, implying the broader operational trend is stronger than the single-quarter dip.
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a clear ‘Wall Street pros/cons’ consensus read can’t be quantified here. Based on the available facts, the ‘pro’ case would emphasize record annual production and Scarborough LNG catalyst; the ‘con’ case would focus on the Q4 YoY declines in revenue/production and the stock’s currently stretched technicals. Politician/congress trading: no recent congress trading data available.
