VMC Should I Buy
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Not a good buy right now. VMC is sitting right on the pivot (~300.7) with weakening momentum (MACD below zero), elevated downside-probability signals for the near term, and hedge funds materially net selling. With no Intellectia buy signals today and an earnings event coming (2026-02-17 pre-market), I would avoid initiating a new long here; for an impatient buyer, the risk/reward is skewed against buying at ~$300.5.
Price is essentially at the pivot level (300.724), implying no clear edge at current levels. MACD histogram is negative (-0.53) though contracting (selling pressure may be easing, but trend is not bullish yet). RSI(6) ~51 is neutral. Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation rather than an uptrend. Near-term levels: support S1 296.19 then S2 293.39; resistance R1 305.26 then R2 308.06. With momentum not confirming an upside breakout, buying here offers limited immediate upside versus nearby support risk. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today. - SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
showed strong profitability and pricing/cost dynamics. Upcoming earnings on 2026-02-17 could be a catalyst if results/guide surprise to the upside.
Hedge funds are selling aggressively (selling amount up 157.1% QoQ), which is a meaningful sentiment/flow headwind. Technical momentum is not bullish (MACD below zero; price stuck at pivot). Pattern-based forward signal provided points to elevated near-term downside odds (reported 70% chance of declines over 1d/1w/1m). No supportive news flow in the last week to counterbalance the risk. Earnings ahead can also amplify downside if expectations are not met.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to $2.291B (+14.35% YoY). Net income jumped to $374.9M (+80.59% YoY) and EPS to $2.82 (+80.77% YoY), with gross margin improving to 30.43% (+7.91% YoY). Trend: strong growth and expanding profitability, which is fundamentally positive—but the stock’s near-term setup/flows don’t currently offer an impatient buyer a clean entry.
Street view is mostly positive with price targets generally moving up, but not unanimous: Citi reiterated Buy and nudged targets (latest noted $345), DA Davidson and Stifel raised targets into the low $330s after Q3 strength, and B. Riley initiated with a Buy and $345 target. Wells Fargo is more cautious with an Equal Weight and a $317 target. Pros: infrastructure/data-center demand, scale/aggregates pricing power, improving profitability. Cons: selectivity around building materials cycle, and the more tempered stance from Wells Fargo suggests upside may be more incremental from current levels.
