VECO Should I Buy
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VECO is not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. The stock is in a short-term bearish downswing (negative, expanding MACD; price slipping toward support) while the latest quarter showed broad YoY deterioration (revenue, EPS, net income, and gross margin). With earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-11 after hours and elevated implied volatility, the near-term risk/reward is not attractive for immediate entry. I would stay on the sidelines (hold/avoid new buys) until the price reclaims key levels (e.g., back above the pivot ~32.77) or a clear proprietary signal appears.
Trend/price action: The stock closed at 31 (down -4.61% regular session) and is trading below the pivot (32.771), indicating near-term bearish control. Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.217 and negatively expanding, reinforcing downside momentum. RSI: RSI(6) at ~38.1 is weak (leaning toward oversold but not a strong reversal trigger). Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest indecision/transition, but current momentum favors bears. Key levels: Support S1 ~31.251 (price is hovering around/just below this area), then S2 ~30.312. Resistance at pivot ~32.771, then R1 ~34.292. Pattern-based forward odds (from similar candlesticks): modest near-term upside probability (next day +1.01%, next week +0.89%) and stronger 1-month drift (+10.17%), but the current momentum setup is not yet confirming a clean entry.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
could trigger a short-term rebound.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth trends (YoY): Revenue 165.881M (-10.24%); Net Income 10.596M (-51.73%); EPS 0.17 (-51.43%); Gross Margin 40.35% (-3.81%). Read-through: This is a broad slowdown with margin pressure and sharply lower profitability, which weakens the case for an immediate buy unless there is clear evidence of re-acceleration (likely tied to the next earnings/guide).
Recent trend: Citi (2025-11-12) raised the price target to $36 from $29 and maintained a Buy rating, referencing higher wafer fab equipment estimates and AI-driven investment tailwinds. Wall Street pros view (bull case): AI capex and sector strength can lift WFE demand; the raised PT implies meaningful upside from current ~31. Wall Street cons view (bear case): The latest quarter’s YoY declines and margin compression indicate execution/cycle risk; the stock’s current technical weakness suggests the market is not yet rewarding the AI narrative. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; insiders reported as neutral (no significant recent trend).
