VAL Should I Buy
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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
ET
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Not a good buy right now. VAL’s trend is still bullish on moving averages, but momentum is fading (MACD contracting) and the stock is trading near/above most recent Wall Street targets (49–58 range) with limited upside versus downside to nearby supports. For an impatient buyer, the risk/reward at ~57.7 is unattractive; better entries are closer to ~56.6 (pivot) or ~53.9 (S1).
Price: 57.73 (-1.8% close; pre-mkt -2.06%). Trend remains bullish with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, indicating an intact uptrend. MACD histogram is positive (0.538) but “positively contracting,” suggesting bullish momentum is weakening rather than accelerating. RSI(6)=62.5 is neutral-to-slightly warm (not overbought), so there’s room for a push higher, but without strong momentum confirmation. Key levels: Pivot 56.613 (near-term line in the sand). Resistance R1 59.364 then R2 61.063. Support S1 53.863 then S2 52.164. At 57.73, upside to R1 is ~2.8% while downside to S1 is ~6.7%, skewing risk/reward against chasing.
SwingMax previously issued an entry signal (2026-01-
and price is still up ~10.5% since, implying the broader swing trend has been favorable. Upcoming earnings (QDEC
on 2026-02-23 could act as a catalyst if guidance/dayrates surprise positively.
and above other targets (49–50), limiting perceived upside.
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue declined to $595.7M (-7.37% YoY), showing top-line softness. Profitability improved sharply: net income $188.1M (+191% YoY) and EPS 2.65 (+201% YoY), implying strong operational leverage/cost or utilization/dayrate benefits despite lower revenue. Overall: earnings power improved materially, but growth is not broad-based on revenue.
Recent trend is cautious-to-neutral with price targets clustered around or below the current price. Citi stayed Neutral and most recently cut PT to 58 from 62 (slightly negative near-term). Barclays remains Equal Weight with PT 50. JPMorgan stays Underweight though it raised PT to 49 (less bearish than before, but still negative). Wall Street pros: improving offshore contracting tone and potential deepwater recovery into 2026–27. Cons: spending headwinds/commodity sensitivity and limited upside at the current quote given targets.
