USEG Earnings

USEG reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-12, showcasing a revenue of 1.74M against an estimate of 2.04M, resulting in a -14.62% surprise. The EPS was -0.1, surpassing the expected -0.09 by -11.11% . The stock experienced a -7.08% price change on the earnings day and a -8.85% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following USEG's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-12, the stock price moved by -7.08% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -8.85% change. Historically, USEG's stock price tends to shift by an average of +8.53% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +5.09% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q3, analysts estimate USEG’s annual revenue to reach 2.04M, while the EPS is projected at -0.07. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue No Change by 0% and EPS estimates No Change by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between USEG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates moved No Change by 0% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, USEG's stock price typically moves by +8.53% in the 10 days before its earnings and +5.09% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q3 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.07 and revenue of 2.04M.

The earnings call highlighted a significant revenue decline due to divestitures, increasing lease operating expenses per BOE, and a reduced cash position. The Q&A session revealed concerns about lower-than-expected helium concentrations and delays in processing plant development. While management expressed optimism about CO2 sequestration and EOR usage, the lack of clear timelines for merchant CO2 sales and processing plant construction, combined with dependency on the Montana project, presents risks. These factors, along with market volatility exposure, suggest a negative stock price movement over the next two weeks.