USAC Should I Buy
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USAC is not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. Price is already near the latest Street target ($26) with limited upside, technicals remain bearish (downtrend/weak momentum), and hedge funds have been heavy sellers. While fundamentals improved in 2025/Q3, the setup does not offer an attractive immediate-risk/reward entry at $25.86.
Trend/momentum is still bearish despite the stock holding up near $25.86. The moving-average stack is bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling a broader downtrend. MACD histogram is negative (-0.0206) and expanding lower, indicating weakening momentum. RSI(6) at 38.6 is leaning toward oversold but not showing a clear reversal signal. Pattern-based forward odds also skew negative (estimated -5.6% next week, -6.17% next month). Near-term levels provided (Pivot 23.724; R1 24.175; R2 24.453) sit below the current price, implying the stock has bounced above prior resistance, but the dominant trend indicators still point to caution.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
on 2026-02-17 pre-market could act as a catalyst if distribution coverage/leverage trends improve. Citi views the J-W Power acquisition favorably and sees it as accretive, improving flexibility for organic/inorganic growth and potential future distribution growth.
Technicals remain bearish (downtrend MA stack + negative MACD). Hedge funds are selling aggressively (selling amount up 467.21% over the last quarter), which is a notable sentiment headwind. Analyst upside is limited: Citi’s raised target is $26 while the stock is ~$25.86 post-market, leaving little near-term room for rerating. News flow provided is largely about Energy Transfer (sector read-through at best) rather than a direct USAC-specific catalyst. No supportive congress/politician buying signal is present (no recent data).
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth trends were positive: revenue increased to $250.256M (+4.29% YoY), net income rose to $32.538M (+117.81% YoY), EPS improved to $0.26 (+100% YoY), and gross margin expanded to 40.79% (+7.65% YoY). Overall, profitability and margins strengthened meaningfully, which is a fundamental positive—just not currently being confirmed by the technical trend.
Recent Street action is modestly positive but still cautious: on 2025-12-02, Citi (Douglas Irwin) raised the price target to $26 from $25 while maintaining a Neutral rating, citing favorable/accretive impacts from the J-W Power acquisition and improved flexibility for growth/distribution potential. Wall Street pros: accretive deal + improved coverage/leverage narrative. Cons: Neutral stance implies limited conviction, and with shares already near $26, incremental upside from this view appears capped.
