UPWK Should I Buy
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0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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BUY now (dip-entry). UPWK sold off -4.71% in the regular session to 20 and is rebounding post-market (+1.30%), sitting near a defined support zone (S1 ~19.17). Despite short-term bearish momentum (MACD), the bigger-picture moving-average stack is bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), options positioning is strongly risk-on (very low put activity), hedge-fund flow is positive, and Wall Street targets imply meaningful upside versus ~$20. For an impatient buyer, this is a reasonable buy-the-dip setup with near-term upside back toward the pivot (20.75) and then resistance (~22.33) if the bounce follows through.
Price/Trend: UPWK is trading around 20.05 post-market after a sharp regular-session drop (-4.71%), followed by a modest after-hours rebound (+1.30%). Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0257 and negatively expanding = bearish short-term momentum still in play. RSI: RSI(6) ~39.4 = soft/near-oversold territory (not extreme), consistent with a pullback that can bounce. Moving Averages: Bullish MA structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests the intermediate trend remains constructive despite the daily drop. Key Levels: Pivot 20.747 (price below pivot = needs reclaim for trend confirmation). Support S1 19.166 then S2 18.189. Resistance R1 22.329 then R2 23.306. Pattern-based outlook: Similar-pattern stats show mild positive drift (next week +0.63%, next month +1.74%), supporting a modest rebound thesis.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Options market is decisively call-skewed (very low put volume ratio), consistent with risk-on sentiment.
Hedge funds are buying: reported buying amount up ~138.7% over the last quarter.
Analyst narrative has improved around AI being a tailwind (not just disintermediation risk), supported by Investor Day messaging and Q3 execution.
Upcoming earnings: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-09 (after hours) can act as a catalyst if momentum continues and guidance is constructive.
Short-term technical momentum is bearish (MACD negative and expanding), so the stock may need time to stabilize.
Price is still below the pivot level (20.747), so the rebound hasn’t technically “confirmed” yet.
Growth is currently modest (Q3 revenue +4.1% YoY), which can limit multiple expansion unless acceleration becomes clearer.
No supportive near-term news flow in the last week; the stock is trading more on positioning/technical factors right now.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue $201.73M (+4.10% YoY) shows steady but not high growth. Net income $29.34M (+5.68% YoY) and EPS $0.21 (+5.00% YoY) improved, indicating continued profitability progress. Gross margin 77.28% (-0.41% YoY) dipped slightly, a mild negative but not a breakdown.
Recent trend: Predominantly positive, with multiple price target raises and mostly Buy ratings.
