UPS Should I Buy
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BUY now. UPS is trading around 106.24 post-market, sitting just above nearby support (S1 ~104.26) and below the pivot (107.73), which is a reasonable risk/reward entry for an impatient buyer. Sentiment is improving (multiple price-target raises, one notable upgrade, and heavy hedge-fund buying), options positioning is modestly bullish (put/call OI < 1), and fundamentals show EPS/net income growth despite revenue softness. Near-term margin pressure (Q1) is the key overhang, but the market is already focused on margin recovery later in 2026 and structural changes. Upside to the cluster of raised targets (115–128) is meaningful from ~106.
Trend/momentum is neutral-to-slightly-bearish near term: MACD histogram is negative (-0.553) but contracting (downtrend momentum is fading), RSI(6) ~48.6 (neutral), and moving averages are converging (no strong trend). Price is below the pivot (107.73), so bulls need a reclaim of ~107.7 to open a move toward resistance (R1 ~111.20, then R2 ~113.34). Downside levels to watch are S1 ~104.26 then S2 ~102.12. Pattern-based forward read in the dataset implies mild weakness over 1-day/1-week but stronger odds for a positive 1-month move (+14.65%).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4. Revenue fell to $24.479B (-3.25% YoY), but profitability improved: Net Income $1.791B (+4.07% YoY) and EPS 2.10 (+4.48% YoY). Gross margin increased to 79.68 (+2.99% YoY). Takeaway: top-line is still contracting, but execution/cost actions are supporting earnings resilience—consistent with an early-cycle recovery setup rather than a high-growth story.
Recent Street trend is improving: many firms raised price targets after Q4 (e.g., Bernstein to 128 Outperform; UBS to 125 Buy; Stifel to 116 Buy; Oppenheimer to 115 Outperform; others lifted targets while staying Neutral/Hold). HSBC upgraded to Buy from Hold. Wall Street pros: earnings resilience, pricing power, structural changes, and potential margin improvement later in 2026. Cons: limited visibility and near-term margin/earnings pressure (especially Q1), plus ongoing volume/mix headwinds tied to Amazon reductions and transition costs. Politician/influencer activity: no recent congress trading data available; insider trend noted as neutral.
