UGP Should I Buy
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0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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UGP is not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. The trend is bullish, but the stock is short-term overbought (RSI≈80) and sitting just below resistance (~4.85). With no Intellectia buy signals today and momentum starting to cool (MACD histogram still positive but contracting), the risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback toward ~4.52 support rather than chasing at ~4.77–4.78.
Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, confirming an uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0738) but contracting, suggesting upside momentum is fading rather than accelerating. Overbought/mean-reversion risk: RSI_6 at ~80.3 signals an overbought condition—often associated with near-term pullbacks or sideways consolidation. Levels: Pivot support ~4.521 (first key dip-buy area), deeper supports ~4.194 and ~3.992. Near-term resistance R1 ~4.847 (current price is close), then R2 ~5.049. Price context: Regular session -1.44% and slightly weaker pre/post market indicates some near-term selling pressure.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth trends: Revenue rose to ~6.80B (+6.63% YoY). Net income increased to ~134.1M (+14.14% YoY). EPS increased to 0.12 (+9.09% YoY). Gross margin improved to ~6.69 (+3.72% YoY). Overall, operating performance is improving with profitability growing faster than revenue.
Recent trend: One notable change—on 2025-11-12, Bradesco BBI upgraded Ultrapar to Outperform from Neutral with a R$30 price target. Wall Street-style pros: improving quarterly growth and margin trend; supportive upgrade. Cons: limited breadth of recent analyst updates in the provided data, and near-term technicals look stretched, making timing unfavorable for an immediate buy.
