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TYGO is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The stock just sold off hard (-14.89% in the regular session) and is trading below its key pivot (3.152) with no Intellectia buy signals (AI Stock Picker or SwingMax). While longer-term moving averages remain bullish and Q3 revenue/gross margin improved sharply, near-term price/technical positioning and lack of sentiment/supporting signals make the risk/reward unattractive for an immediate entry.
Price/Trend: TYGO experienced a sharp regular-session drop (-14.89%) and is currently ~3.02 post-market, which is below the pivot level (3.152) — a short-term bearish placement despite bullish longer-term averages. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0683) but contracting, implying upside momentum is fading rather than strengthening. RSI(6) at 48.9 is neutral, offering no oversold bounce signal. Moving Averages: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 remains structurally bullish, but the latest large red move increases the odds of chop/continuation lower before a cleaner setup. Levels: Immediate resistance is the pivot at 3.152, then R1 at 3.771. Key support is S1 at 2.533 (risk of ~-16% from 3.02 to S1), then S2 at 2.151. Pattern-based expectation: Similar-pattern stats suggest +1.15% next day, -0.78% next week, +2.59% next month—mild edge only, not strong enough to justify chasing after a breakdown.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Upcoming earnings event: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-12 after hours (potential catalyst if results/guide surprise positively).
Fundamentals improving on key line items: 2025/Q3 revenue +115.02% YoY and gross margin increased to 42.66% (material improvement).
Longer-term technical structure still positive via bullish moving average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), which can support a recovery if price reclaims the pivot (3.152).
Major near-term bearish price action: -14.89% regular-session drop signals heavy selling pressure and weak demand at current levels.
Momentum is not confirming a rebound: MACD is positive but contracting; RSI is neutral (not oversold), so there’s no strong technical “snap-back” signal.
Profitability still weak: 2025/Q3 net income -$2.166M and EPS -0.03; losses and EPS both worsened YoY per provided data.
No supportive sentiment/catalyst flow: no news in the recent week, hedge funds and insiders are neutral, and no congress trading data to indicate influential accumulation.
Earnings risk: With earnings on 2026-02-12, downside volatility risk remains elevated if results/forward commentary disappoint.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to $30.613M (+115.02% YoY), indicating strong top-line growth. Gross margin improved to 42.66% (large YoY increase), a constructive sign for unit economics. However, profitability remains negative: net income was -$2.166M and EPS -0.03, both shown as worse YoY in the provided snapshot—so the business is improving on sales/margins but has not translated that into bottom-line improvement yet.
No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a clear Wall Street consensus trend cannot be confirmed from this dataset. Pros view (inferred from fundamentals): rapid revenue growth and sharply higher gross margin suggest operating leverage potential. Cons view (inferred): ongoing losses/negative EPS and the stock’s high volatility/large sell-off would likely keep risk-sensitive analysts cautious until profitability trajectory is clearer.