TXN Should I Buy
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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry. TXN is technically strong but extended (near resistance with overbought momentum), while sentiment signals are mixed-to-cautious (heavy put volume, rising insider selling, and recent Congress sales). I would avoid initiating a new position at ~$215-216; if already owned, this is a hold rather than add.
Trend is bullish but stretched. Price (215.6) is pressing the first resistance zone (R1 ~216.6) after a strong run, with bullish moving-average alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and a positively expanding MACD histogram (+2.462) confirming upside momentum. However, RSI_6 is very elevated (78.3), which typically signals short-term overbought conditions and increases pullback risk—especially right under resistance. Key levels: Pivot ~203.6 (a more attractive re-entry zone), R1 ~216.6, R2 ~224.6.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Pattern-based trend stats also lean cautious short-term: estimated -0.9% over the next week and -7.67% over the next month, despite a roughly flat next-day expectation.
with overbought RSI, raising odds of a pullback if momentum cools.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4. Revenue rose to ~$4.423B (+10.38% YoY), showing demand recovery (notably data center). However, earnings quality was softer: net income ~$1.156B (-3.59% YoY), EPS $1.27 (-2.31% YoY), and gross margin 55.89% (-3.22% YoY). In short: top-line improving, but margins/earnings still catching up—consistent with a recovery that’s real but not yet fully profitable.
Recent trend is upward on price targets after Q4 results, with several bullish firms raising targets into the ~$225–$260 range (Baird, KeyBanc, Benchmark, UBS) and citing better guidance, industrial resilience, and data center strength. However, the Street is split: some maintain Hold/Neutral due to valuation (Stifel, Cantor Neutral), while notable bears kept Underweight/Sell/Underperform ratings despite raising targets (Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Mizuho), arguing TI may lag peers in margin/FCF recovery and the stock is already priced richly. Wall St. pros view: improving cycle + AI/data center tailwind (pro), but valuation + slower margin recovery + longer pressure on FCF versus peers (con).
