Should I Buy TVC? TVC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Tennessee Valley Authority (TVC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

24.380

1 Day change

0.04%

52 Week Range

25.330

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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Buy TVC right now for a momentum/steady-defensive setup. The technicals are bullish (stacked moving averages and expanding positive MACD), price is pushing above key resistance levels, and the latest quarter shows solid YoY revenue and net income growth. With no option-flow, news, or fund/insider signals to contradict the tape, the path of least resistance remains up, which fits an impatient buyer better than waiting for an ideal pullback.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Setup: Bullish. Moving averages are positively aligned (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), supporting an established uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is +0.0153 and expanding, confirming strengthening upside momentum. RSI: RSI_6 = 64.49 (neutral-to-warm). It’s not overbought, but it’s closer to the upper range, implying less “cheap” entry and more of a momentum entry. Levels: Pivot 24.022. Resistance levels: R1 24.16, R2 24.244. Post-market price 24.36 is above R2, suggesting an active breakout rather than a range trade.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Positive Catalysts

Technical breakout attempt: price trading above R2 (24.
with bullish MA stack and expanding positive MACD.
Fundamentals (latest quarter 2025/Q4): Revenue +11.32% YoY and Net Income +18.27% YoY support a steadier, defensive bull case.
Flows/positioning: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral (no notable selling pressure flagged).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

No near-term news catalysts in the past week, so continuation relies mainly on technical momentum.
Gross margin declined to 52.17% (-4.52% YoY), a fundamental headwind versus the otherwise strong YoY growth.
RSI is elevated (64.49), meaning upside may be more incremental than explosive and more sensitive to any market weakness.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.

Revenue: 3.914B, up 11.32% YoY (clear top-line acceleration).
Net Income: 615M, up 18.27% YoY (bottom-line growth outpacing revenue).
Gross Margin: 52.17%, down 4.52% YoY (profitability pressure).
EPS: listed as 0, up 0.00% YoY (data point appears non-informative/flat in this snapshot). Overall: Growth is positive on revenue and net income, but margin compression is the main quality-of-earnings negative to watch.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so there is no observable recent trend in upgrades/downgrades or target revisions. Wall Street-style pros vs cons based on available info: Pros: Defensive/utility-like stability characteristics, improving YoY revenue and net income, and strong technical trend. Cons: Margin compression (gross margin down YoY) and lack of near-term catalysts/news flow. Politicians/Congress trades: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.

0 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TVC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TVC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Current: 24.370

Low

Averages

High