TRIN Should I Buy
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Buy now. The chart is in a bullish uptrend (stacked moving averages), insiders are aggressively buying, and recent Wall Street coverage is uniformly positive with rising targets (up to $19). While one fund’s full exit is a near-term sentiment headwind and options open interest looks put-heavy, the price structure suggests buyers are still in control and the current level near the $16.57 pivot offers a reasonable entry for an impatient investor.
Trend/structure: Bullish trend with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, indicating upward momentum across short-, medium-, and long-term timeframes. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0593) but contracting, suggesting bullish momentum is still present but cooling (more consolidation risk than immediate breakout). RSI: RSI_6 at ~62.9 is neutral-to-slightly-bullish (not overbought), leaving room for continuation. Key levels: Pivot/support at ~16.57 is the important near-term line. Resistance is tight overhead: R1 ~17.07 (price is essentially there in the post-market) and R2 ~17.38 as the next upside checkpoint. A clean hold above ~17.07 increases odds of testing ~17.38. Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern stats imply modest upside over 1 week to 1 month (+1.13% / +1.71%), consistent with a grind higher rather than a fast breakout.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
can act as a catalyst if results/guide come in strong.
Event-driven sentiment hit: GraniteShares Advisors fully exited its position (sold ~212k shares; ~$3.29M), which can pressure perception and create supply.
Momentum cooling: MACD is still positive but contracting, increasing the chance of short-term chop near resistance.
Options open interest is put-heavy (OI put/call 1.97), implying notable hedging or caution from longer-held positioning.
Regular session weakness (-1.35%) shows intraday selling pressure remains present despite the post-market bounce.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth: Revenue rose to $66.229M (+16.59% YoY) and net income rose to $27.645M (+13.30% YoY), indicating ongoing expansion. Profitability per share: EPS fell to $0.39 (-7.14% YoY), a yellow flag versus the net income growth (could reflect share count changes, portfolio mix, or expense dynamics). Overall, the quarter shows solid top-line and net income growth, with EPS as the main soft spot.
Recent trend: Clearly improving/constructive. Citizens JMP initiated Outperform with $17.50 (2025-12-08); Lucid initiated Buy with $17 (2025-12-11); and Citizens raised its target to $19 while reiterating Outperform (2026-01-27). Wall Street pros: supportive view on resilience/scale/diversification and better positioning through shifting rate environment; targets imply upside from current ~$17. Wall Street cons: acknowledges a changing operating backdrop (lower rates) creating mixed impacts across products—execution and underlying earnings drivers matter.
