TPR Should I Buy
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BUY TPR now. The stock is sitting just below the 129 pivot after a modest dip, downside momentum is fading (MACD histogram still negative but improving), options positioning is net-bullish (put/call ratios < 1), and fundamentals are strong (double-digit revenue growth with much faster EPS growth). With earnings coming 2026-02-05 (pre-market) and Street targets recently reset materially higher (many in the $140–$154 range), the risk/reward favors initiating immediately rather than waiting for a cleaner technical reversal.
Trend/Setup: Near-term trend is mildly bearish-to-neutral, but selling pressure is easing.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Upcoming earnings (2026-02-05 pre-market) with Street commentary pointing to potential beat/raise dynamics (Citi explicitly expects Q2 earnings/sales above consensus and guidance strength).
Macro/news tailwind: expectation of larger tax refunds for wealthier shoppers (TPR’s customer base is more exposed to higher-income spend), which can support demand.
Strong recent fundamental trajectory (see latest quarter) supports multiple expansion and higher targets.
Broad analyst target resets higher into 2026 (multiple firms raising PTs into the $140–$154 range) provides incremental buyer support.
Technicals are not yet in a confirmed uptrend (MACD still below zero; price slightly under pivot), so a brief retest of 125–123 support remains plausible.
Event-driven move risk into earnings (IV elevated percentile), meaning the stock is priced for a larger move and can react sharply.
Demand uncertainty persists in specialty retail per analyst commentary (stock selection critical; consumer sensitivity remains a swing factor).
Latest quarter: 2026/Q1.
Recent trend: decisively improving. Multiple firms raised price targets over Dec 2025–Jan 2026 (Citi to $152, Barclays to $154, Bernstein to $150, Telsey to $150, Baird to $140, Wells Fargo to $135, Jefferies to $142, JPMorgan to $148). Ratings skew positive (Buy/Overweight/Outperform dominate) with a minority Neutral (UBS Neutral; Guggenheim initiated Neutral). Wall Street pros: (1) Momentum and potential beat/raise setup, (2) resilient higher-income demand, (3) inventory discipline/margins holding up, (4) macro tailwinds (rates/gas/tax refunds) and tariff-related optionality. Wall Street cons: (1) ongoing demand uncertainty in discretionary retail, (2) macro sensitivity and uneven consumer backdrop, (3) not every firm is outright bullish (some neutrals remain).
