TLN Should I Buy
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Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. Despite strong fundamentals and very bullish Wall Street targets, the tape is currently weak (down ~3.8% regular session, MACD worsening, price sitting just under key support ~348.66). With no Intellectia buy signals today and pattern-based odds skewing further downside over the next week/month, the better call is to hold/avoid initiating new shares at this moment rather than buying immediately.
Trend/momentum is bearish-to-weak in the near term. MACD histogram is negative (-2.574) and expanding lower, signaling deteriorating momentum. RSI(6) at 36.7 is near oversold but still not showing a clear reversal signal. Price is trading around the S1 support (S1 ~348.657; last ~348.36 post/after hours), meaning TLN is effectively testing (and slightly undercutting) a key level; a clean bounce could happen, but a breakdown risks a move toward S2 (336.524). Overhead resistance is now crowded: Pivot ~368.296 then R1 ~387.934. Moving averages are converging, consistent with a consolidation that has recently resolved lower. Short-horizon pattern analogs provided also lean bearish (higher probability of additional losses over 1D/1W/1M).
Strong Wall Street stance: multiple Overweight/Buy ratings with rising targets (roughly $457–$510 range) vs current ~$348, implying substantial upside if sentiment/tape turns.
Strategy/corporate actions: recent commentary highlights PJM colocation/data-center power demand dynamics and resource adequacy as supportive; acquisition of 2.6 GW gas assets in PJM (per analyst notes) strengthens optionality for data-center deals and exposure to potentially rising power prices.
Fundamentals: latest quarter showed robust YoY growth in revenue, EPS, net income, and margins (supports the medium-term bull case).
Technical deterioration: momentum is weakening (negative, expanding MACD) and the stock is sitting just below a key support level (~348.66); failed support often triggers another leg down toward ~336.
No near-term event support: no news catalysts in the last week to arrest the drawdown.
Quant/pattern outlook provided is negative-biased (expected drift lower over next day/week/month).
Options are pricing big moves (high IV percentile), consistent with uncertainty and risk of sharp downside continuation.
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth trends were strong: Revenue $770M (+38.74% YoY), Net Income $207M (+23.21% YoY), EPS $4.26 (+34.81% YoY). Gross margin improved to 56.75 (+30.16% YoY). This is fundamentally supportive, but it’s not currently translating into short-term price strength.
Recent trend is increasingly bullish: multiple firms reiterated Buy/Overweight while raising price targets in Jan 2026 (Wells Fargo to $506, Morgan Stanley to $470, Seaport to $510, Barclays to $457) following strategic developments and stronger forward outlook assumptions. Wall Street pros: levered exposure to PJM power pricing, data-center demand/colocation optionality, and cash generation flywheel (per notes). Cons: the stock can still trade with power-price/regulatory headlines and sentiment swings; the current chart action is not confirming analysts’ optimism near-term.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
