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HOLD (not a good buy right now for an impatient investor). TLF is hovering around the pivot (2.845) with neutral momentum and no Intellectia buy signals today. With limited near-term catalysts and earnings not until 2026-02-25, the setup doesn’t offer a compelling immediate upside edge versus the nearby resistance zone (2.92–2.96). A better buy would be on a decisive breakout above 2.92/2.96 or a dip closer to support (2.77).
Price/levels: Post-market ~2.85, essentially sitting on the pivot (2.845). Immediate resistance: R1 2.918 then R2 2.963; supports: S1 2.773 then S2 2.728. Momentum: MACD histogram slightly positive (0.00102) but “positively contracting,” implying mild bullish momentum that is fading rather than strengthening. RSI: RSI(6) ~54.7 (neutral), no overbought/oversold edge. Trend/structure: Converging moving averages suggests consolidation/chop rather than a clean trend. Near-term statistical pattern read shows modest expected upside (next day ~0.21%, next week ~0.72%, next month ~3.47%), but not strong enough to justify an aggressive entry right now.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Technical: Price is holding around pivot with MACD still marginally positive, leaving room for a breakout attempt into 2.92–2.
Financial: Gross margin improved YoY (58.91%, +1.99% YoY) and losses narrowed substantially YoY (net income and EPS improved vs prior year).
Event: Next earnings scheduled 2026-02-25 after hours—potential catalyst if results surprise positively.
Trend quality: Converging MAs + contracting positive MACD indicates consolidation and weakening momentum—higher risk of chop/false starts for an impatient buyer.
Fundamental growth: Revenue declined slightly YoY in the latest quarter (2025/Q3 revenue -0.50% YoY), suggesting limited top-line momentum.
News relevance: Provided news items appear ETF distribution-related (including a different 'TLF' reference) and don’t clearly support Tandy Leather Factory specifically, so there’s no clear company-specific bullish catalyst in the summary.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, and micro-cap names like TLF often have limited Wall Street coverage. Pros view (inferred): improving margins and narrowing losses could support valuation if revenue stabilizes. Cons view (inferred): lack of consistent revenue growth and limited visibility/catalyst flow makes it harder for analysts to underwrite near-term upside. Overall: no clear Wall Street-driven momentum signal.
