Should I Buy TK? TK 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Teekay Corp Ltd (TK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

10.490

1 Day change

3.15%

52 Week Range

10.600

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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TK is not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. The technical trend is bullish, but price is extended/overbought (RSI_6 ~79.5) and sitting just above near-term resistance, while fundamentals in the latest quarter (2024/Q4) show clear YoY declines. With no Intellectia buy signals today and no fresh news catalyst, the risk/reward favors holding off rather than chasing at 10.23.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bullish trend confirmed by moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and a positive, expanding MACD histogram (0.0619), indicating ongoing upward momentum. Momentum/extension: RSI_6 at 79.542 suggests the stock is stretched/overbought, which often precedes consolidation or a pullback. Levels: Pivot 9.866. Immediate resistance R1 10.194 has been exceeded slightly (post-market ~10.23), with next resistance R2 10.397. Supports: S1 9.538, S2 9.335. From here, upside to R2 is limited versus downside back toward pivot/S1 if momentum cools. Pattern-based outlook: Similar-pattern stats imply ~60% chance of modest gains (+0.95% next day, +1.13% next week, +5.48% next month), but the near-term setup looks extended.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/sentiment: Options are extremely call-skewed (OI put/call 0.02; volume put/call 0.0 with only 1 put traded vs 2811 calls), reflecting strongly bullish/speculative sentiment. Activity: Volume is unusually elevated (today vs 30D avg volume ~446%), suggesting heightened interest. Volatility: IV_30d ~43.26 vs historical vol ~29.78 (IV > HV) implies options are priced rich; this often coincides with demand chasing upside and can signal crowded bullish positioning. Net read: sentiment is bullish, but potentially over-enthusiastic.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Bullish technical trend (stacked moving averages + positive MACD).
Strong options call demand and unusually high options volume (risk-on sentiment).
No negative news flow reported in the past week.
Statistical pattern read points to a positive 1-month drift (+5.48% with ~60% probability).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

with limited room to next resistance (R2 10.397).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2024/Q4. Growth trend: Negative YoY across key lines—Revenue 256.566M (-24.36% YoY), Net Income 25.242M (-28.66% YoY), EPS 0.28 (-24.32% YoY), Gross Margin 21.9 (-35.25% YoY). This is a clear deceleration/deterioration snapshot rather than improving momentum, which reduces conviction for buying immediately after a run-up.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so a recent trend in upgrades/downgrades cannot be confirmed from the dataset. Wall Street pros/cons view cannot be reliably summarized without those inputs.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TK is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy