TIGO Should I Buy
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Buy now. TIGO is in an established uptrend (bullish MA stack) with supportive derivatives sentiment (very low put/call ratios) and a clear near-term corporate catalyst (UNE full ownership closing). Even though price is near first resistance (~62.3) and MACD momentum is cooling, the balance of evidence favors upside continuation rather than a breakdown, which fits an impatient buyer who doesn’t want to wait for a perfect pullback.
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Trend/structure: Bullish trend intact with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, suggesting buyers remain in control. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.459) but “positively contracting,” implying upside momentum is still present but slowing (risk of short-term consolidation). RSI: RSI_6 at 63.4 is neutral-to-slightly-warm (not overbought), consistent with a continuing uptrend rather than exhaustion. Key levels: Pivot 59.717 is the key near-term line for trend support. Resistance levels sit at R1 62.3 and R2 63.895. With price ~61.03, upside room to R1 is modest, but a break/hold above 62.3 would open the path toward ~63.9. Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern study shows a 70% chance of ~-1.36% next day (possible near-term dip/consolidation), but positive bias over 1 week (+1.09%) and 1 month (+2.96%).
UNE acquisition: Millicom acquired EPM’s remaining shares in UNE for COP 2.1T, reaching nearly 100% ownership; expected close Jan 29, 2026 (clean, event-driven catalyst).
Institutional behavior: Hedge funds are buying, with buying amount up 417.45% over the last quarter.
Upcoming catalyst window: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-20 (pre-market) with EPS estimate ~1.05; potential upside if recent profitability strength persists.
implies some on Wall Street view the stock as fairly valued despite JPM’s bullish view.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue: $1.42B, down -0.77% YoY (soft top-line). Profitability: Net income $195M, up +282.35% YoY; EPS $1.16, up +286.67% YoY—major earnings acceleration. Margins: Gross margin 55.7%, up +0.89% YoY, indicating improving unit economics/efficiency despite modest revenue decline. Takeaway: Financial momentum is driven by profitability expansion more than revenue growth, which is supportive for the stock if sustained into QDEC 2025.
Recent trend: Analysts have recently raised/maintained constructive stances. JPMorgan (2025-11-17) raised PT to $63 from $55 and kept Overweight, calling Millicom its top LatAm pick. Scotiabank (2025-11-07) nudged PT slightly higher to $46.80 and kept Sector Perform, describing a ‘bittersweet’ outlook. Wall Street pros: JPM’s raised target and ‘top pick’ framing supports the bull case and aligns with the current uptrend. Wall Street cons: Scotiabank’s much lower PT and neutral rating highlights valuation/visibility concerns. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; insider trend is neutral (no significant activity over the last month).
