Should I Buy TG? TG 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Tredegar Corp (TG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

9.260

1 Day change

52 Week Range

9.430

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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Not a good buy right now. TG has a broadly bullish longer-term moving-average structure, but near-term signals are mixed (MACD momentum contracting), insiders are aggressively selling (+302% MoM), options imply elevated event risk (IV percentile ~90.8) without confirming volume, and the pattern-based outlook points to a negative next-month drift (-3.24%). For an impatient buyer, the risk/reward is not attractive at $8.55 post-market.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) support an overall uptrend, but today’s regular-session drop (-3.72%) suggests short-term weakness. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.072) but contracting, indicating bullish momentum is fading rather than accelerating. RSI_6 at ~55 is neutral—no oversold bounce signal. Key levels: Pivot 8.452 is immediate line-in-the-sand. Holding above it keeps the bullish structure intact. Resistance levels: R1 8.934 then R2 9.231 (needs reclaim to reassert upside). Supports: S1 7.971 then S2 7.674 if selling continues. Near-term bias: Mild upside odds for 1-day/1-week (+0.7% / +1.1%) but negative 1-month expectation (-3.24%), which argues against chasing now.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Open interest is overwhelmingly call-skewed (call OI 2349 vs put OI 26; OI put-call ratio 0.01), which is bullish in positioning. Confirmation: Today’s options volume is 0 (no real-time follow-through), so the skew may be legacy positioning rather than fresh bullish demand. Volatility: IV is elevated (30D IV ~74.84 vs historical vol ~69.15) and IV percentile ~90.8, implying the market is pricing substantial uncertainty (often around earnings or downside risk). Elevated IV without volume confirmation is not a clean bullish setup for an impatient entry.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

suggests the longer trend is still constructive.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

suggests the market is pricing bigger moves/uncertainty—unfavorable for an impatient buy without a clear edge.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth: Revenue rose to $194.942M (+33.46% YoY), a clear top-line acceleration. Margins: Gross margin improved to 15.44 (+22.93% YoY), a constructive operational signal. Bottom line: Net income fell to $7.074M (-279.27% YoY) and EPS to $0.20 (-281.82% YoY), meaning earnings power weakened materially versus last year despite better revenue/margins (suggesting higher costs, non-operating effects, or tougher comps). Overall: mixed quality quarter—good sales/margins, poor earnings translation.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price-target change data was provided, so no identifiable recent trend in upgrades/downgrades or target revisions. Net Wall Street pros/cons view cannot be validated from the dataset; the actionable signals here come more from technicals (mixed) and insider activity (negative).

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TG is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy