Should I Buy TFX? TFX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Teleflex Inc (TFX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

108.420

1 Day change

2.39%

52 Week Range

180.580

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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TFX is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. Despite some improving momentum signals (MACD turning positive) and a long-term strategic catalyst (portfolio reshaping and potential buybacks), the stock is still in a broader bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), hedge funds are selling aggressively, options positioning skews defensive (heavy put open interest), and the latest reported quarter shows severe profitability deterioration. I would wait rather than buy at ~$104 today; if already owned, this is a hold into clearer trend reversal or nearer to support with improving sentiment.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bearish overall, with moving averages stacked negatively (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling a prevailing downtrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.164) and expanding, suggesting a nascent rebound attempt, but it is not yet confirmed by the MA structure. RSI: RSI_6 at ~41 is neutral-to-soft (not oversold), implying limited immediate mean-reversion support. Key levels: Pivot ~103.70 is the near-term line; support S1 ~101.08 (then S2 ~99.45). Resistance R1 ~106.33 (then R2 ~107.96). A convincing reclaim/hold above ~106–108 would strengthen the bullish case. Pattern-based odds: Similar candlestick analogs imply a modest positive drift (about +1.6% next day / +3.6% next week / +4.9% next month), but these are small edges and conflict with the broader bearish MA trend.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Neutral

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment read: Open interest put/call at 3.31 is strongly skewed toward puts (defensive/hedging or bearish positioning). However, today’s volume put/call at 0.95 is closer to balanced, suggesting no extreme one-day bearish push. Volatility: 30D IV ~38.7 vs historical vol ~51.4 implies options are not pricing extreme near-term moves relative to realized volatility. IV percentile ~59 indicates mid-range pricing, not panic. Activity: Volume is near average (today vs 30-day avg ~97%), so this skew looks structural rather than a fresh surge in fear today.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

on 2026-02-24 pre-market could act as a catalyst if RemainCo guidance/updates exceed expectations.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

suggests the market is still positioned defensively.
and stays Equal Weight, emphasizing execution risk around RemainCo guidance and follow-through.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3. Growth: Revenue rose to ~$913.0M (+19.45% YoY), indicating solid top-line growth. Profitability: Net income fell to about -$408.9M and EPS to -$9.24 (both sharply worse YoY), alongside gross margin decline to ~49.47% (-12.10% YoY). This combination signals major profitability pressure (and/or significant one-time charges), which is a near-term negative until investors regain confidence in normalized margins and earnings.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend (ratings/targets): Mixed but slightly improving on longer-term restructuring optimism.

Needham (2026-01-27): Upgraded to Buy, PT $138, citing post-asset-sale capital deployment and mid-single-digit organic growth outlook.
Wells Fargo (2026-01-29): Lowered PT to $116 (from $139) and kept Equal Weight, implying tempered near-term expectations and execution risk.
Truist & RBC (Dec 2025): Both raised PTs to $135 but maintained Hold/Sector Perform tones, framing 2026 as a “show me” execution year. Wall Street pros: Clear strategic catalyst (portfolio simplification + potential buybacks/deleveraging) and attractive forward earnings power if execution is strong. Wall Street cons: Execution risk in the RemainCo transition, lingering business headwinds, and uncertainty around earnings quality after the weak Q3 profitability print. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; insiders reported as neutral with no significant recent trend.

TFX Should I Buy