TDY Should I Buy
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BUY now. TDY is in a clear uptrend (bullish moving averages and positive MACD), has strong defense-linked catalysts (recent AUV deliveries to Sweden), and sentiment from options is distinctly bullish (very low put/call ratios). While it’s trading close to near-term resistance (~$626.8) and short-term momentum is getting stretched (RSI ~70, MACD histogram contracting), the balance of evidence favors upside continuation rather than a trend break—especially for an impatient buyer who wants exposure immediately.
Trend/structure: Bullish trend confirmed by SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200. Momentum: MACD histogram +3.76 (bullish) but contracting, signaling upside momentum is still positive but cooling. RSI(6)=69.95 is near overbought, implying short-term pullbacks are possible but not yet a bearish reversal. Levels: Pivot 601.3 is the key trend-support area; immediate resistance R1 626.8 (current 620.3 is just below), next resistance R2 642.5. A clean push above 626.8 increases odds of a move toward ~642.5; holding above ~601 supports the bull trend.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Defense momentum/event-driven: Delivery of GAVIA AUV systems to Sweden under a multi-year framework agreement supports defense/national security growth narrative. Earnings/guidance follow-through: Recent commentary highlights strong Q4 beat and “solid” 2026 guidance. Flows: Hedge funds are buying (buying amount up ~124% QoQ), supportive for continued trend. Pattern-based forward odds: Similar candlestick setups imply a positive drift (60% chance of gains; modeled +2.65% next day, +2.38% next week, +6.53% next month).
with RSI near overbought and MACD momentum contracting—conditions that can produce short pullbacks. Insider activity: Insiders are selling (selling amount up ~124% last month), which can dampen upside enthusiasm. Options pricing: Elevated implied volatility suggests the market is paying up for protection/upside exposure, which can limit risk-adjusted attractiveness for new option buyers (though it also reflects strong demand).
Latest quarter (2025/Q4): Revenue $1.612B (+7.32% YoY) shows steady top-line growth. Profitability accelerated sharply: Net income $275.6M (+38.84% YoY) and EPS $5.84 (+39.05% YoY), indicating operating leverage/margin strength. Gross margin ~39.47% (flat YoY) suggests the big earnings gain was driven more by mix/scale/efficiency below gross margin rather than gross expansion—still a favorable quality signal given the magnitude of EPS growth.
Recent trend: Price targets were generally raised following Q4 results and 2026 guidance. Stifel reiterated Buy and lifted PT to $720 (bullish). Barclays, Citi, and Morgan Stanley sit more neutral/equal-weight with PTs around ~$599–$649/$620, indicating the Street is constructive but not uniformly aggressive at this price. News also notes an upgrade to Overweight with a ~$667.5 target (positive incremental catalyst). Wall Street pros: durable defense/national security exposure (drones/underwater surveillance), high-quality Q4 beat, and solid guidance. Cons: some firms see valuation/near-term upside as more balanced (hence Neutral/Equal Weight clustering near current price). Politicians/influential figures: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.
