TDS Should I Buy
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TDS is not a good buy right now at $45.13. The trend is bullish, but price is pressing into near-term resistance (R1 ~$45.51 / R2 ~$46.27) with RSI near overbought and no Intellectia buy signals. For an impatient buyer, the risk/reward here is skewed toward a short-term pullback or stall rather than a clean immediate upside continuation. A better entry would typically be closer to the pivot/support zone ($44.29 down to ~$43.08), but at the current level the most prudent action is HOLD (or wait for a dip) rather than buying immediately.
Trend/structure: Bullish alignment with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 confirms an uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0142) and expanding, supportive of continuation. Overbought/extension: RSI_6 ~70.1 signals the move is extended and prone to a pause/pullback. Levels: Pivot ~44.29 is the key near-term magnet; resistance sits at R1 ~45.51 and R2 ~46.27 (price at ~45.13 is already close), while support is S1 ~43.08 then S2 ~42.32. Probabilistic near-term: Pattern-based stats indicate a 60% chance of about -0.64% next day, suggesting limited immediate upside from this exact level.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Event-driven/value-unlock narrative: Citi highlights “positive steps to transform” (wireless sale to T-Mobile; spectrum divestitures) with potential additional value if pending spectrum transactions are completed.
Options market tone: call preference and low put/call ratios (news cites put-call ~0.46 vs long-term median ~0.
imply bullish expectations.
Technical backdrop: bullish moving-average stack and positive MACD support the prevailing uptrend.
Upcoming catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-20 (pre-market) can re-rate the stock if results/updates on asset sales are favorable.
Price is near resistance and extended: RSI ~70 and proximity to R1/R2 increases the odds of a short-term pause or pullback—unfavorable for an impatient entry.
Fundamental pressure: revenue declined YoY in 2025/Q3 (-5.79%), and the company is still loss-making (net income -$99.1M).
Dividend angle is weak: news notes a low annualized dividend yield (~0.4%) and questions around sustainability—limited support for income-driven buyers.
Elevated implied volatility vs realized volatility can mean option pricing anticipates bigger swings; the stock may chop rather than trend cleanly near-term.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue fell to $308.5M (-5.79% YoY), showing top-line contraction. Profitability improved but remains negative: net income improved to -$99.1M (up 19.28% YoY), and EPS improved to -$0.85 (up 16.44% YoY). Margins: gross margin rose to 28.57% (+1.75% YoY), indicating some operational improvement despite lower sales. Overall: improving losses and margins are positives, but declining revenue and negative earnings keep fundamentals mixed.
Recent trend: limited data points provided, but the latest notable update is constructive. On 2025-11-26, Citi resumed coverage with a Buy and a $45 price target, citing transformation progress (wireless sale, spectrum divestitures) and potential further value unlock from pending spectrum sales. Wall Street pros: asset monetization/value-unlock story and strategic simplification. Wall Street cons: execution risk on completing transactions and translating restructuring into durable earnings, especially given recent revenue declines.
