TDG Should I Buy
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Buy now. TDG is in an established uptrend (bullish moving-average stack) and is trading near the pivot (1429) with clear nearby support (1403), which fits an impatient buyer looking for immediate participation rather than waiting for a perfect pullback. Fundamentals and Wall Street sentiment are strongly supportive (multiple Buy/Outperform ratings with targets well above the current ~$1428), and upcoming earnings (Feb 9) plus continued M&A optionality can act as catalysts. Near-term momentum is slightly cooling (MACD histogram negative/expanding), so the likely path is choppy, but the broader trend and analyst/financial backdrop still make it a good buy right now.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Trend is bullish overall: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 indicates a sustained uptrend. Momentum is mixed: RSI(6) ~56.6 is neutral (not overbought), but MACD histogram (-2.445) is below zero and negatively expanding, suggesting short-term momentum is weakening and the stock may consolidate/pull back before pushing higher.
Key levels:
Positioning takeaway: With the longer-term uptrend intact and price near the pivot, buying now is reasonable; a clean move above ~1456 would be a technical confirmation for continuation.
Strong recent operating momentum: FY2025/Q4 revenue +11.48% YoY, net income +34.23% YoY, EPS +33.39% YoY, gross margin improved to 58.19%.
Analyst narrative is constructive on aerospace aftermarket demand and capital deployment (buybacks/dividends) and M&A optionality.
Company-specific M&A optimism highlighted by Goldman (recently announced sizable acquisitions) supporting growth and strategic optionality.
Macro/sector tailwinds: defense spending backdrop and ongoing aircraft production/aftermarket demand themes remain supportive for the Aerospace & Defense complex.
Upcoming earnings (2026-02-09 pre-market) can serve as a near-term catalyst if results/guide surprise positively.
Short-term momentum cooling: MACD histogram is negative and worsening, increasing odds of near-term chop or a pullback toward ~1403 support.
Options positioning shows meaningful put open interest (OI put/call 1.2), consistent with hedging/caution.
Event risk into earnings (Feb 9): even strong companies can see volatility if guidance/expectations disappoint.
M&A/financing risk: continued deal-making can introduce integration execution risk and sensitivity to interest expense (a concern cited in broader debates on the name).
Macro headline risk (e.g., government funding/shutdown concerns) can weigh on broad market sentiment even if TDG fundamentals remain intact.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4. Growth and profitability trends are clearly positive:
Recent trend: predominantly bullish with rising price targets. Multiple firms raised targets after strong results and/or on M&A visibility.
Wall Street pros view (pros): durable aerospace aftermarket demand, strong free cash flow, margin profile, disciplined playbook, and M&A/capital return optionality. Wall Street cons view (cons): questions about sustaining aftermarket growth vs peers, rising interest expense/financing sensitivity, and reliance on deal execution for incremental upside.
Net: Street bias is clearly positive, with most targets materially above the current ~$1,428, supporting a Buy right now.
