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Not a good buy right now. TAP.A is in a bearish technical trend (downward momentum and bearish moving-average stack) and is trading below the key pivot (~49) with weakening momentum. While options positioning is mildly constructive and insider buying is a notable positive, the recent analyst trend has skewed negative and the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3) showed revenue contraction and an exceptionally weak bottom line. For an impatient buyer, the setup is not favorable until price strength returns (e.g., reclaiming ~49 and holding above it).
Trend/momentum is bearish. Moving averages are stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), suggesting the broader downtrend remains intact. MACD histogram is negative (-0.249) and expanding lower, indicating downside momentum is strengthening rather than stabilizing. RSI(6) at 40.8 is not oversold, so there isn’t a strong mean-reversion “oversold bounce” signal yet. Key levels: support S1 ~47.73 (post-market ~47.50 is slightly below this, a near-term breakdown risk), next support S2 ~46.94. Resistance/pivot is ~49.00, then R1 ~50.28. A credible buy setup would typically require reclaiming the pivot (49) and improving MACD/MA structure.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

with nearby support being tested/breached.
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3. Revenue declined to ~$2.973B (-2.27% YoY), indicating negative top-line momentum. Reported profitability was extremely weak: Net Income -$2.928B (-1565% YoY) and EPS -14.79 (-1641% YoY). Gross margin was ~39.47% (roughly flat/slightly down YoY). Overall, the quarter reflects contracting sales and a severely negative bottom line in the reported figures, which aligns with the cautious analyst tone and helps explain why the stock’s technicals remain heavy into the next earnings event (QDEC 2025).
Recent Wall Street trend is net-negative/defensive. Since late 2025 into mid-Jan 2026, multiple firms lowered price targets (UBS, JPMorgan, Evercore, Piper Sandler, Wells Fargo), and ratings skew toward Neutral/Equal Weight/Underweight, with a notable downgrade to Underperform from BNP Paribas (PT cut to $40). Bulls’ case (pros): select positive views remain (e.g., Roth reiterating Buy with a much higher PT previously) and some analysts see cost actions/strategic changes as potential FY26 support. Bears’ case (cons): repeated guidance cuts referenced post-Q3, continued pressure in U.S. beer fundamentals, and macro/FX/oil risks into 2026. Overall, the ‘pros vs cons’ balance from Wall Street currently leans cautious rather than bullish.