TAC Should I Buy
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Buy now as a near-support dip entry. TAC sold off hard in the regular session (-5.68%) and is trading below the pivot (12.78 vs 13.00) but still holds a bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Options positioning is notably call-skewed (very low put/call ratios), suggesting traders are leaning bullish into/after the pullback. With no negative news catalyst this week, the drop looks more like a momentum reset than a thesis break; for an impatient buyer, this is an acceptable entry area as long as it holds the 12.25–11.78 support zone.
Trend/structure: Despite today’s sharp drop, TAC remains in a constructive broader trend with bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), implying the intermediate/long trend is still up. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.159) but contracting, consistent with upside momentum fading and a short-term pullback phase. RSI: RSI_6 at ~43.9 is neutral-to-slightly weak, suggesting it’s not overbought and may have room to mean-revert upward. Levels: Pivot 13.001 is the key line to reclaim. Immediate support S1 12.249 (nearby) then S2 11.784. Resistance levels to watch are 13.754 (R1) and 14.219 (R2). A hold above ~12.25 favors a bounce/continuation setup; losing it increases odds of testing ~11.78. Pattern-based short-term odds: Similar-pattern analysis implies modest upside bias (about +0.75% next day, +2.84% next week, +6.37% next month), supportive of buying the dip near support.
Technical dip into nearby support (12.25 area) while the larger MA trend remains bullish—often a buyable pullback setup.
Options market shows strong bullish skew (call dominance via low put/call ratios), indicating traders are positioned for upside.
Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-27 (pre-market). If results/guide surprise positively, the stock can re-rate quickly.
Short-term momentum cooled: MACD is positive but contracting and price is below the pivot (13.00), meaning the stock must prove it can reclaim resistance.
If 12.25 breaks, next support is meaningfully lower (~11.78), raising near-term downside risk.
Fundamentals show pressure on top line and profitability metrics (revenue and gross margin down YoY), which can cap upside until improvement is visible.
Next earnings can cut both ways; with elevated IV, the post-earnings move can be sharp in either direction.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue: 463M, down -9.04% YoY (top-line contraction). Net income: -62M, improved +72.22% YoY (loss narrowing). EPS: -0.21, improved +75.00% YoY (still negative, but improving). Gross margin: 14.25%, down -40.55% YoY (notable margin deterioration). Takeaway: Earnings quality is mixed—losses are narrowing, but revenue and margins weakened materially, so the bull case relies more on forward improvement than current-quarter strength.
Recent trend: Mostly positive/raising targets into late 2025, but with one notable downgrade.
