SVM Should I Buy
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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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Not a good buy right now. The stock just suffered a sharp regular-session breakdown (-16.78%) and is still trading below the near-term support zone (~10.47). While options positioning and recent news skew bullish and could fuel a bounce, momentum (MACD) is still deteriorating and the chart has not stabilized. For an impatient buyer, the risk of immediate further downside toward ~9.52 support is too high versus the upside until price reclaims/holds above ~10.47–12.02.
Trend/price action: Major one-day selloff (-16.78% regular session) with a small post-market rebound (+2.38% to ~10.31) suggests attempted stabilization but not confirmation. Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0669) and expanding lower => bearish momentum still building. RSI: RSI(6) at ~27 is effectively oversold, which can support a short-term bounce, but oversold alone is not a buy trigger when MACD is still weakening. Moving averages: Reported as bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), implying the longer trend had been up, but the abrupt drop creates a near-term trend break that needs consolidation. Key levels: Pivot ~12.02 is the key reclaim level for trend repair; near support S1 ~10.47 has been lost (post-market ~10.31 below it). Next support S2 ~9.52. Resistance levels: ~13.57 then ~14.52. Pattern-based outlook: Similar-pattern stats imply ~flat next day (-0.07%), modest +0.53% next week, and +5.49% next month—supportive, but not strong enough to override the current momentum damage.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Acquisition/JV catalyst: Completed acquisition of Chaarat ZAAV CJSC for $92M, forming a JV with Kyrgyzaltyn and extending the mining license to 2062 (improves long-duration asset visibility).
Operational headline: Reported 6.1% increase in silver production (peer comparison note also favorable).
Earnings setup: Upcoming earnings on 2026-02-09 (after hours) with expectations for improved EPS/revenue per news summary.
Derivatives sentiment: Strongly bullish put/call ratios (calls dominant) can support a rebound if selling pressure fades.
Technical damage: Large single-session selloff and current price below the ~10.47 support increases probability of a further drop toward ~9.52 before a durable bottom forms.
Momentum: MACD negative and deteriorating signals trend weakness is not finished.
Fundamentals (latest quarter): Despite revenue growth, profitability flipped sharply negative (net loss, negative EPS), which can cap valuation expansion until earnings quality improves.
Event risk: Earnings on 2026-02-09 can trigger another gap move; with the chart already broken, a disappointment would be amplified.
Latest quarter: 2026/Q2. Growth: Revenue rose to 83.33M (+22.54% YoY), showing top-line expansion. Profitability: Net income fell to -11.516M (-165.04% YoY) and EPS to -0.05 (-155.56% YoY), indicating a major deterioration in earnings quality versus last year. Margins: Gross margin ~53.46%, slightly higher YoY (+0.34%), suggesting core unit economics are stable, but other costs/charges are pressuring the bottom line. Bottom line: Strong sales growth, but the quarter was a clear earnings setback—this is a key reason the stock is not an immediate “buy now” despite bullish longer-term narratives.
Recent trend: Price targets have generally moved up, but ratings turned more mixed.
