Should I Buy SSRM? SSRM 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy SSR Mining Inc (SSRM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

24.160

1 Day change

7.23%

52 Week Range

28.810

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader. SSRM just suffered a sharp -15.03% regular-session drop (post-market 23.05, +1.14%), and price is now sitting right around/below near-term support (S1=23.172) with the next support down at S2=21.671. While longer-term trend structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and fundamentals/news are improving, the near-term tape is still fragile and the pattern-based forecast skews negative over the next day/week/month. I would HOLD (not buy) until price reclaims/holds above ~~23.2 and starts basing, or until it decisively reclaims the pivot (~~25.6).

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting the broader trend has been constructive, but today’s -15% shock move signals a near-term trend break/volatility regime. Momentum: RSI_6 = 32.24 (near oversold/weak momentum). MACD histogram is still >0 (0.0824) but positively contracting, implying upside momentum is fading rather than accelerating. Levels: Pivot 25.602 is the key reclaim level for bulls. Immediate support S1=23.172 (price ~23.05 is slightly below), next support S2=21.671. Resistance R1=28.031. Near-term odds (pattern analogs): 50% probability skew suggests -4.66% (next day), -4.91% (next week), -6.74% (next month), reinforcing that immediate follow-through risk remains.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Put/Call ratios are very low (OI P/C 0.31; Volume P/C 0.2), which reads as call-heavy/bullish positioning. Volatility: IV (30d) ~69.92 vs HV ~64.88 with IV percentile 86.8 (options priced rich vs recent history). That typically implies the market is paying up for protection/speculation—consistent with elevated uncertainty after the big move. Activity: Total volume 4,424; volume ~111% of 30-day average and open interest elevated vs average (today vs OI avg ~137%), showing active participation around this event-driven period.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Hod Maden Technical Report (2026-01-29): strong project economics (after-tax NPV5% ~$1.66B, IRR ~39%) and projected annual free cash flow ~$328M (2028–2037), which supports a stronger long-term narrative.
- Upcoming catalyst: Q4/FY2025 results and 2026 guidance (announced for Feb 17, 2026 per news; calendar also notes QDEC 2025 earnings after hours on 2026-02-23). Guidance could be a major re-rating driver if strong.
- Options positioning is call-skewed (bullish sentiment).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

signals the market expects large moves; that often keeps pressure on the stock until a base forms.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth was strong: Revenue $385.839M (+49.92% YoY), Net Income $65.441M (+519.88% YoY), EPS $0.31 (+520% YoY). Gross margin improved to 40.08 (+109.40% YoY). This indicates a sharp profitability/operating leverage upswing versus the prior year, supporting the longer-term bull case even though the near-term trading picture is currently unstable.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Ratings/targets have generally moved up in January 2026.

TD Securities upgraded to Buy (C$43 PT) citing compelling valuation, improved FCF, and leverage to higher gold.
Canaccord reiterated Buy and raised PT to C$46.
Scotiabank reiterated Outperform and raised PT to C$45.
UBS previously raised PT (Buy).
Counterpoint: BofA kept Underperform (despite lifting PT to $21.50). Wall Street pros: multiple upgrades/raises and a stronger gold/FCF framing. Wall Street cons: at least one notable bearish holdout (BofA Underperform) and the stock’s violent downside move suggests the market is still debating execution/risk near term. Politicians/influential trading: No recent congress trading data available; insiders show no significant trend (neutral).

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast SSRM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SSRM is 25.07 USD with a low forecast of 18.7 USD and a high forecast of 29 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

3 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 22.530

Low

18.7

Averages

25.07

High

Current: 22.530

Low

18.7

Averages

25.07

High

BofA

Underperform

downgrade

$21

AI Analysis

2026-02-02

Reason

BofA

Price Target

$21

AI Analysis

2026-02-02

downgrade

Underperform

Reason

BofA lowered the firm's price target on SSR Mining to $21 from $21.50 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. The firm reduced its total attributable net asset value estimate for SSR by 1.5% after the company reported the results of an updated technical report for its minority owned Hod Maden copper gold project in Turkye last Thursday.

UBS

Levi Spry

Buy

maintain

2026-01-30

Reason

UBS

Levi Spry

Price Target

2026-01-30

maintain

Buy

Reason

UBS analyst Levi Spry raised the firm's price target on SSR Mining to $38.50 from $34.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

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SSRM Should I Buy

SSRM Should I Buy

Should You Buy SSR Mining Inc (SSRM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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