SPAI Should I Buy
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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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Not a good buy right now. SPAI is in a near-term downtrend and has broken below key support levels while fundamentals (2025/Q3) show sharply contracting revenue and deeply negative profitability. With no Intellectia buy signals today and an impatient investor profile, the current setup favors avoiding/stepping aside rather than buying immediately.
Price/Trend: SPAI is trading at 4.75 (-6.00% regular session; -1.22% pre-market), underperforming a mildly down market (S&P 500 -0.42%). Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0854) and expanding lower, indicating bearish momentum is strengthening. RSI: RSI_6 at 41.2 is neutral-to-weak (not oversold), suggesting downside pressure may still have room. Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest indecision, but momentum indicators skew bearish. Levels: Pivot 5.983; supports S1 5.448 and S2 5.117 are both ABOVE the current price—meaning price has already lost these supports, which is technically a bearish breakdown. Next upside hurdles are 5.117–5.448 just to reclaim prior support, then 5.983 pivot. Pattern/Short-term odds: Similar-pattern model suggests only ~50% odds of modest gains (+1.25% next day; +3.78% next week), which is not compelling given the current breakdown.
Lantronix partnership/MOU with Safe Pro (AI-powered edge computing solutions for unmanned systems) can improve commercial traction and credibility.
Sector tailwind: Drone market expected to grow materially (2025 to 2026 expansion cited), providing a supportive macro narrative.
Analyst initiation: Lake Street initiated Buy with a $9 target, highlighting 'picks-and-shovels' exposure to the drone ecosystem rather than reliance on a single drone OEM.
and S1 (5.
suggests weak demand and potential for continued selling.
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue fell to 101,422 (-69.34% YoY), indicating severe contraction. Profitability: Net income improved YoY but remains deeply negative (-5,010,358; +35.95% YoY improvement still a large loss). EPS: -0.29 (worse vs. prior year by -14.71%). Margins: Gross margin -40.68% (down sharply YoY), signaling negative unit economics or heavy costs relative to revenue. Overall: Growth and profitability trends are unfavorable, and the quarter does not support an aggressive buy-now decision.
Recent rating/target trend: One notable update—on 2025-11-18, Lake Street initiated coverage with a Buy and a $9 price target. Wall Street pros view (bull case): Unique 'end-to-end' offering and broader exposure to the drone ecosystem; partnership-driven upside. Wall Street cons view (bear case): The financial profile (sharp revenue drop, negative gross margin, continuing large losses) and weak price action make the risk/reward unattractive in the near term. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge fund and insider trends are neutral.
