SMC Should I Buy
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Buy now. SMC is in a bullish technical trend (stacked bullish moving averages) and the options open-interest positioning is aggressively call-skewed (bullish sentiment). Even though pre-market is down (-3.01%) and the latest quarter showed a swing to losses, the prevailing price trend remains up and the pattern-based forward odds point to modest gains over the next week/month—fit for an impatient buyer who wants exposure immediately rather than waiting for a cleaner pullback entry.
Trend is bullish: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 signals a sustained uptrend. Momentum is still positive but cooling: MACD histogram is above 0 (0.0972) and positively contracting, implying upside momentum is fading somewhat rather than reversing outright. RSI_6 at 62.49 is neutral-to-slightly-bullish (not overbought). Key levels: Pivot support ~27.636 (near-term line in the sand); resistance overhead at R1 29.053 then R2 29.929. With price at 28.65, the stock is closer to resistance than support, so near-term upside likely requires a breakout above ~29.05; otherwise, a dip toward ~27.64 is the most likely retest area.
Strong top-line growth in the latest quarter (2025/Q3 revenue +43.42% YoY).
Clear bullish trend structure (SMA alignment) that often attracts trend-following flows.
Very call-heavy options open interest (bullish positioning).
Pattern-based forward estimate points to upside bias: ~+2.56% next week and ~+3.31% next month (while next day is roughly flat).
Profitability deterioration in 2025/Q3: net income -$1.578M and EPS -0.13 (down ~99% YoY), which can cap valuation expansion.
Pre-market weakness (-3.01%) signals near-term selling pressure and raises the chance of a pullback toward the pivot (~27.64).
No recent news catalysts in the past week to drive an immediate breakout above resistance (~29.05).
Options market is thin today (zero volume), reducing the usefulness of options flow as a real-time sentiment gauge.
Latest quarter (2025/Q3): Revenue rose to $146.883M (+43.42% YoY), and gross margin improved to 28.28 (+10.73% YoY), showing healthier operating efficiency. However, earnings weakened sharply: net income fell to -$1.578M (down ~99.23% YoY) and EPS to -0.13 (down ~99.32% YoY). Net result: strong growth and margin improvement, but the bottom line is currently a drag and can be an overhang until profitability stabilizes.
No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so a true trend in Wall Street upgrades/downgrades cannot be confirmed here. Based on the data available, the implied 'pro' view would emphasize the strong revenue growth and improving gross margin plus the bullish price trend; the implied 'con' view would focus on the earnings deterioration (loss in 2025/Q3) and the lack of a near-term catalyst.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals:
Influential/Political trading: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral with no significant recent trend; no recent Congress trading data available.
