SMBK Should I Buy
-
$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
ET
Loading...
BUY now. SMBK is in a bullish uptrend (stacked moving averages and improving MACD), fundamentals just posted strong YoY growth (2025/Q4), and the Street’s latest actions include an upgrade with upside to $48. Despite hedge funds selling recently and no near-term news catalyst, the current setup still favors an immediate entry for an impatient buyer, with a near-term technical target around the $42 area.
Trend is bullish: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 confirms an established uptrend. MACD histogram is positive (0.0418) and expanding, supporting continued upside momentum. RSI_6 at 61.69 is neutral-to-slightly-bullish (not overbought), suggesting room for price to run. Price (39.91) is just below the pivot (40.285); a reclaim/hold above ~40.29 improves odds of a push to R1 (42.095). Key levels: Support S1 38.475 then S2 37.357; Resistance R1 42.095 then R2 43.213. Pattern-based projection cited shows a favorable skew (70% chance of gains) with modeled +3.04% next week and +33.57% next month.
Strong latest quarter growth (2025/Q4): revenue +14.66% YoY, net income +42.13% YoY, EPS +42.11% YoY. Recent analyst actions skew more constructive: Hovde upgrade to Outperform with a $48 PT suggests meaningful upside vs 39.91; other coverage lifted PTs as well. Technical uptrend intact with momentum indicators improving; a move back above the ~40.29 pivot can act as a trigger toward ~42.
Hedge funds are selling, with selling amount up 214.25% over the last quarter—this is the most notable bearish positioning signal in the dataset. No recent news catalysts in the past week, so the stock may rely on technical follow-through rather than event-driven upside. Limited options activity/volume reduces the usefulness of derivatives sentiment signals.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4. Growth trends were strong: revenue rose to 48.404M (+14.66% YoY), net income to 13.703M (+42.13% YoY), and EPS to 0.81 (+42.11% YoY). This indicates accelerating profitability relative to top-line growth, a favorable setup for continued multiple support if the trend persists.
Recent trend is improving. On 2026-01-22, Hovde Group upgraded SMBK to Outperform (from Market Perform) with a $48 target (bullish). Keefe Bruyette kept Market Perform but raised targets (to $42 from $40 on 2026-01-22; previously to $40 from $38 on 2025-11-04). Wall Street pros: improving targets and one clear upgrade imply growing confidence and upside potential. Cons: at least one major firm still sits at Market Perform, implying a more balanced risk/reward view rather than unanimous conviction. Politician/congress activity: no recent congress trading data available; insiders reported as neutral.
