Should I Buy SITM? SITM 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy SiTime Corp (SITM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

418.690

1 Day change

2.05%

52 Week Range

440.000

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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BUY now. SITM is in a bullish trend (stacked bullish moving averages) and sentiment is supportive (call-leaning options flow/positioning plus a clear upward drift in analyst price targets). With no Intellectia AI Stock Picker or SwingMax signal today, this isn’t a “must-buy because of a system trigger,” but the current setup still favors upside continuation—especially with the stock holding near the 365 pivot support and the next resistance at ~385. The key near-term catalyst is the upcoming QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-04 (after hours), where expectations have turned constructive given recent growth and improving gross margin.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bullish. The moving-average stack is positive (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), which typically signals a sustained uptrend. Momentum: Mixed-to-positive. RSI(6)=57.62 is neutral but leaning constructive (not overbought). MACD histogram is slightly negative (-0.00354) but contracting, which often suggests downside momentum is fading rather than accelerating. Levels: Price 367.94 is just above the pivot (365.289), implying the stock is currently defending a key near-term support zone. Immediate resistance is R1 ~385.543; a push/close above that level would be a continuation confirmation. Downside reference supports: S1 ~345.035 then S2 ~332.523. Pattern-based odds (provided): Model indicates a positive skew (approx. +2.22% next week, +11.16% next month), supporting a buy-now bias for an impatient investor.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/sentiment: Constructive. Open Interest Put-Call Ratio at 0.88 suggests slightly more call positioning than puts (mildly bullish). The Option Volume Put-Call Ratio at 0.43 is more clearly call-dominant on the day (bullish near-term sentiment). Volatility: Elevated. 30D IV ~73.94 vs HV ~88.21, with IV percentile 64 (above mid-range). This implies options are pricing meaningful movement, consistent with a stock that can move sharply (and with earnings approaching). Activity: Today’s volume (281) is below the 30-day average (63 on the provided scale), but open interest looks active (todays OI 7113; today vs OI avg 30D ~124.64), suggesting positioning is in place even if today’s tape isn’t unusually hot.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Earnings catalyst ahead: QDEC 2025 earnings scheduled for 2026-02-04 after hours (Street EPS est. 0.25), creating a clear event-driven upside opportunity if growth/margins and AI/optical timing demand remain strong.
Analyst sentiment trending upward: multiple price target raises and Buy ratings recently (UBS to $430, Stifel to $400, etc.), reinforcing institutional confidence.
Strong growth trend in the last reported quarter (2025/Q3): revenue +44.84% YoY and gross margin improvement to 53.51% (+4.78% YoY), consistent with improving business quality.
Technical uptrend: bullish MA alignment with price holding above pivot support (~365).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Profitability still weak: despite strong revenue growth, 2025/Q3 net income and EPS were worse YoY (net income -$8.01M; EPS -0.31), meaning execution must translate growth into earnings.
Near-term technical overhead: resistance at ~385.5 is close; failure there can cause quick pullbacks toward ~345 support.
No fresh news in the past week: absent a new headline catalyst, price action may depend more on technicals/positioning until earnings.
No supportive “insider/hedge” accumulation signal: both insiders and hedge funds are reported Neutral (no strong incremental sponsorship signal).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.

Revenue: $83.57M, up +44.84% YoY (strong top-line acceleration).
Gross Margin: 53.51%, up +4.78% YoY (positive mix/pricing/scale signal).
Net Income: -$8.01M (down -58.51% YoY) and EPS: -0.31 (down -62.65% YoY), indicating the company is still not converting growth into profitability yet. Overall read: Growth and margin trajectory are positive, but earnings quality is still the main gap—making the upcoming QDEC 2025 print an important “prove it” moment.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: clear upgrades/raises in price targets with Buy bias dominating.

2026-01-26: UBS raised PT to $430 from $375, reiterated Buy.
2026-01-16: Stifel raised PT to $400 from $360, maintained Buy.
2025-11-21: Loop initiated Buy, PT $350.
2025-11-06 cluster: UBS raised to $375 (Buy); Roth raised to $350 (Buy); Needham raised to $360 (Buy); Stifel raised to $360 (Hold). Wall Street pros (bull case): precision timing as a structural growth area, diversification into AI infrastructure/optical, strong sequential growth narrative, and improving gross margin. Wall Street cons (bear case): profitability/earnings consistency still a concern (one notable Hold remains), and execution risk is elevated into earnings. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; no notable politician activity indicated. Insider activity also reported Neutral.

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast SITM stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SITM is 353.57 USD with a low forecast of 260 USD and a high forecast of 420 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

0 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 410.290

Low

260

Averages

353.57

High

420

Current: 410.290

Low

260

Averages

353.57

High

420

UBS

Timothy Arcuri

Buy

maintain

$430 -> $485

AI Analysis

2026-02-05

New

Reason

UBS

Timothy Arcuri

Price Target

$430 -> $485

AI Analysis

2026-02-05

New

maintain

Buy

Reason

UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri raised the firm's price target on SiTime to $485 from $430 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. SiTime posted another solid beat and raise and confirmed the Renesas deal, which qualifies as transformational for this story, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Needham

N. Quinn Bolton

Buy

maintain

$400 -> $450

2026-02-05

New

Reason

Needham

N. Quinn Bolton

Price Target

$400 -> $450

2026-02-05

New

maintain

Buy

Reason

Needham analyst N. Quinn Bolton raised the firm's price target on SiTime to $450 from $400 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company posted another solid beat and raise, with strength across all segments, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The overall demand environment remains robust as book to bill was above 1.5 exiting the quarter, Needham adds.

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SITM Should I Buy

SITM Should I Buy

Should You Buy SiTime Corp (SITM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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