Should I Buy SII? SII 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Sprott Inc (SII) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

118.870

1 Day change

3.81%

52 Week Range

143.000

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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Buy now. SII is pulling back sharply (-4.7% regular session; -1.3% pre-market) into a technically supported zone while the broader trend remains bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Options positioning is notably call-skewed (very low put/call ratios), and the news flow adds a clear event-driven catalyst (SEC-approved U.S. listing for the Physical Copper Trust). With the stock below its pivot (128.9) and closer to support (118.2) than resistance (139.6), the risk/reward favors an impatient dip-buy aimed at a near-term rebound toward the pivot and then R1.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Still bullish on moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but price is currently below the pivot (128.905) after a steep down day, suggesting a near-term pullback within a broader uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.501) but contracting, implying bullish momentum is fading short term rather than accelerating. RSI: RSI_6 = 43.676 (neutral, leaning slightly weak), consistent with a pullback that is not yet oversold. Key levels: Support S1 = 118.171 (then S2 = 111.539). Resistance R1 = 139.639 (then R2 = 146.271). With price at 124.08, upside mean-reversion back to the pivot (128.905) is the first tactical target. Pattern-based stats: Similar candlestick-pattern history implies a positive bias (approx. +0.91% next day; +3.91% next week).

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment/positioning: Put/call ratios are extremely low on both open interest (0.36) and volume (0.12), indicating bullish positioning/skew toward calls. Volatility: 30D IV 51.33 vs historical vol 42.39, with IV percentile 78 (elevated). Elevated IV often coincides with event-driven pricing; with earnings coming 2026-02-25 (pre-market), options are likely pricing additional movement. Activity: Today’s option volume vs 30-day average is elevated (7.74x), and open interest metrics show unusually high participation (today vs OI avg 50.58), reinforcing that sentiment/attention is active and currently call-leaning.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- SEC approval for Sprott Physical Copper Trust to list on NYSE Arca expands U.S. investor access (clear distribution catalyst).
- Copper-demand narrative (electrification, grid buildout, storage) supports product demand and AUM growth potential.
- Proposed shift to monthly redemptions and removal of the 1.5% redemption cap (subject to unitholder approval) could improve liquidity/appeal of the trust.
- Upcoming earnings date (2026-02-25 pre-market) can serve as a near-term catalyst if AUM/fee trends remain strong.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Near-term technical momentum is weakening (positive but contracting MACD) alongside a large single-day drop, which can keep price choppy below the pivot.
- Analyst stance is not outright bullish (recent coverage/updates remain Hold/Sector Perform), which can cap multiple expansion.
- Trust redemption-mechanism changes still require unitholder approval; any pushback could dilute the catalyst impact.
- No notable supportive flow from hedge funds/insiders recently (both neutral), implying limited visible “smart money” confirmation right now.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth: Revenue rose to 65.112M (+40.01% YoY), showing strong top-line expansion. Profitability: Net income increased to 13.159M (+3.64% YoY) and EPS to 0.51 (+4.08% YoY). This indicates revenue growth is outpacing earnings growth (margins likely not expanding at the same rate), but profitability is still improving. Overall take: Strong sales/AUM-related momentum with more modest earnings growth—still supportive of a buy on this dip given the product/news catalysts.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Analysts have been constructive on targets but neutral on ratings.

2026-01-23: TD Securities raised price target to C$176 from C$130, maintained Hold.
2025-12-10: RBC initiated at Sector Perform with C$132 PT, arguing valuation already reflects the growth outlook and that 2026 growth may be less exceptional than 2025. Wall Street pros: Improved target (TD) suggests upside potential remains and fundamentals are acknowledged. Wall Street cons: Both firms stop short of a Buy; the common concern is valuation and normalization of growth into 2026. Influential/politician activity: No recent congress trading data available; no notable political buying/selling signal was provided.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast SII stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SII is 91.61 USD with a low forecast of 88.38 USD and a high forecast of 94.84 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 114.510

Low

88.38

Averages

91.61

High

94.84

Current: 114.510

Low

88.38

Averages

91.61

High

94.84

TD Securities

Graham Ryding

Hold

upgrade

$130 -> $176

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

Reason

TD Securities

Graham Ryding

Price Target

$130 -> $176

AI Analysis

2026-01-23

upgrade

Hold

Reason

TD Securities analyst Graham Ryding raised the firm's price target on Sprott to C$176 from C$130 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares.

RBC Capital

Sector Perform

initiated

$132

2025-12-10

Reason

RBC Capital

Price Target

$132

2025-12-10

initiated

Sector Perform

Reason

RBC Capital initiated coverage of Sprott with a Sector Perform rating and C$132 price target. The firm says the company's valuation appropriately reflects its growth outlook. Sprott's valuation multiple has re-rated higher in 2025, and while its growth will continue, it won't be not at 2025 levels in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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SII Should I Buy

SII Should I Buy

Should You Buy Sprott Inc (SII) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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