SFL Should I Buy
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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
ET
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Not a good buy right now. SFL’s chart is bullish but it’s trading just below near-term resistance (R1 8.88) with RSI already elevated (67.9), while fundamentals in the latest quarter (2025/Q3) showed sharp YoY deterioration. Options positioning is bullish (very low put/call ratios), but there is no Intellectia AI Stock Picker or SwingMax buy signal to prioritize, and the pattern-based forward view points to a negative 1-month bias (-5.88%). For an impatient buyer, the risk/reward at 8.79 is not attractive enough to justify a fresh entry today.
Trend/structure: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) signals an established uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0403) and expanding, supporting continued upside pressure. RSI_6 at 67.864 is near the upper end of neutral (approaching overbought), implying upside may be harder-earned from here. Levels: Pivot 8.548; immediate resistance R1 8.881 (close overhead) then R2 9.086. Supports S1 8.216 then S2 8.011. With price at 8.79, the stock is closer to resistance than support, which is unfavorable for a “buy now” entry. Quant/pattern read: Similar-pattern projection shows modest upside next day/week (+0.67% / +0.64%) but a negative 1-month expectation (-5.88%), suggesting near-term strength could fade.
Dividend support: Company maintained a $0.20 dividend; BTIG highlighted ~10% annualized yield and a ~41% payout of operating cash flow (supportive for income-focused demand).
Capital return optionality: ~$80M remaining under the buyback authorization through Q2 2026 (per BTIG).
Technical trend remains constructive (bullish MA stack + positive MACD), which can attract momentum buyers if R1 (8.
breaks cleanly.
Latest quarter fundamental deterioration: sharp YoY declines in revenue, net income, EPS, and gross margin (see financials), which can cap multiple expansion.
BTIG noted re-deliveries and a soft drilling market weighing on near-term operating cash flow—an ongoing overhang.
Near-term price location: current price is just below key resistance (R1 8.881), creating a poor “buy now” setup for an impatient entry.
No recent proprietary buy signals: AI Stock Picker and SwingMax show no buy signal today/recently, removing a key priority trigger.
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue fell to 178.207M (-30.20% YoY). Net income dropped to 8.633M (-80.61% YoY). EPS fell to 0.07 (-78.79% YoY). Gross margin declined to 29.38 (-24.28% YoY). Summary: The quarter shows clear negative growth/margin momentum, which weakens the fundamental backdrop despite the attractive dividend narrative.
Recent analyst trend: BTIG (2025-11-11) reiterated Buy and raised the price target to $11 from $10 after Q3, citing adjusted EBITDA ($113M) above consensus and ongoing dividend strength, plus remaining buyback capacity. Wall Street pros: high indicated yield and ongoing capital return potential; supportive EBITDA commentary. Wall Street cons: near-term OCF pressure from re-deliveries and a soft drilling market; and the company’s reported YoY declines in revenue/EPS/margins raise questions about earnings durability. Trading/influential flows: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral (no significant recent trends). Politicians/congress: no recent congress trading data available.
