SEI Should I Buy
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SEI is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. Despite bullish longer-term moving averages and strong Street optimism (targets mostly $61–$70 vs. $53.58), today’s sharp drawdown (-4.98%), weakening momentum (MACD histogram negative and expanding), and extremely bearish options activity (massive put-volume skew) suggest near-term downside risk is elevated. If you must act immediately, the better decision is to stay on the sidelines (hold/avoid new buys) until price reclaims the $55.34 pivot or shows a clear reversal off support ($52).
Trend/Momentum: The structure remains bullish on moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), implying the broader trend is still up. However, momentum is deteriorating: MACD histogram is below zero (-0.0356) and negatively expanding, consistent with a pullback that may continue. RSI: RSI(6) at ~55.6 is neutral—no oversold reading yet, so there’s room for further downside before a typical mean-reversion bounce triggers. Levels: Price $53.58 is below the pivot $55.341 (near-term bearish). Key support sits at S1 ~$52.045 (then S2 ~$50.008). Resistance levels are ~$58.638 (R1) and ~$60.675 (R2). Given the current positioning under the pivot, a retest of ~$52 is plausible. Pattern/Stats: The provided analog-pattern stats indicate a 60% chance of -1.51% next day and -9% over the next month, aligning with the weakening MACD.
Upcoming earnings event: Q4 and full-year 2025 results call scheduled Feb 25, 2026 (earnings Feb 24 after hours). A strong report or upbeat contract/update commentary could reverse sentiment quickly.
Analyst narrative support: Multiple firms see continued capacity contracting and EBITDA growth levers (e.g., Northland top pick; Morgan Stanley highlights data center onsite power demand and secured equipment through 2028).
Structural uptrend backdrop: Bullish moving-average stack suggests dip-buyers may reappear if support holds.
with a falling/negative MACD increases risk of follow-through selling toward ~$52/$
Options market bearishness: Extremely skewed put volume indicates heightened downside concern in the near term.
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth: Revenue surged to ~$166.8M (+122.4% YoY), and gross margin improved to ~33.38 (+46.4% YoY), pointing to strong top-line expansion and better unit economics. Profitability: Net income fell to ~$14.0M (-1269% YoY) and EPS to $0.29 (-825% YoY). This divergence (revenue/margins up, EPS/net income down sharply) signals elevated costs, non-recurring items, financing impacts, or prior-year comps that were unusually high—either way, it weakens near-term confidence until management clarifies sustainability in the upcoming results.
Recent trend: Analysts have been increasingly positive, with multiple target raises and bullish initiations.
