Should I Buy SBGI? SBGI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Sinclair Inc (SBGI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

13.690

1 Day change

-0.07%

52 Week Range

17.880

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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SBGI is not a good buy right now for an impatient trader. Price action and momentum are still bearish (MACD histogram negative and worsening), fundamentals in the latest reported quarter deteriorated materially, and insider selling is accelerating—so the path of least resistance remains down despite being near support/oversold. If you already own it, this is a “hold/avoid adding” until momentum improves or a clear reversal forms; if you don’t own it, I would not chase an entry here.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/momentum is currently weak:

MACD: Histogram at -0.0927 (below 0) and negatively expanding → bearish momentum is strengthening, not bottoming yet.
RSI (6): 26.54 → short-term oversold conditions (potential for a bounce), but oversold can persist in a downtrend.
Moving averages: Converging → not confirming a fresh uptrend; more consistent with consolidation after a decline.
Key levels: Pivot 14.887 (price below pivot = bearish bias). Immediate support is around S1 14.253 (price ~14.22, slightly below), then S2 13.861. Resistance levels to reclaim: 15.521 (R1) then 15.913 (R2).
Pattern-based short-horizon outlook: Similar-pattern stats imply a slight negative bias (~50% chance to -0.45% next day; -1.39% next week), suggesting downside risk still outweighs upside immediately.

Bottom line: near-support/oversold may allow a short bounce, but the primary tape is still bearish and not giving a clean “buy-now” technical trigger.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options positioning is mildly bullish/less defensive, but participation is extremely thin today:

Open interest put/call = 0.75 (calls > puts) → generally a more bullish tilt.
Volume put/call = 0.0 with only 2 calls traded and 0 puts → today’s tape is too small to treat as strong sentiment.
IV (30d) ~49.25 vs HV ~55.31, IV percentile 32 / IV rank 17.62 → implied volatility is not elevated; market isn’t pricing a major near-term move aggressively.
Today vs 30d average volume ~0.56 → below typical activity, limiting signal strength.

Net: options do not show panic hedging (a positive), but also don’t show strong “risk-on” conviction due to very low volume.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Upcoming earnings catalyst: Q4 2025 earnings on 2026-02-25 (after hours) could reset expectations and re-rate the stock if results/guide surprise positively.
Analyst targets moved up recently (supportive of valuation perception).
Near support + oversold RSI can create a tradable bounce if buyers step in around ~14.25 / 13.86 and price reclaims the pivot 14.887.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Momentum is still bearish (MACD worsening); support is being tested and could break toward 13.86.
Insiders are selling and the selling amount increased ~114.75% over the last month → negative internal confidence signal.
Weak recent growth/profitability (latest quarter showed sharp YoY declines; see financials) increases downside risk into/around the next earnings cycle.
No strong institutional/trend tailwind from hedge funds (reported as neutral).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3

Revenue: $773.0M, -15.70% YoY (meaningful contraction).
Net income: -$1.0M, -101.06% YoY (swing to a loss).
EPS: -0.01, -100.71% YoY (earnings deterioration).
Gross margin: 35.83%, -22.14% YoY (margin compression).

Overall: the most recent quarter shows a clear negative growth and profitability trend, which undermines a “buy now” call unless the market is already fully priced for a rebound.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent Street changes are modestly supportive but mixed on conviction:

2025-11-13 (Guggenheim): Buy, PT raised $19 → $20 after Q3 updates and forward commentary.
2025-11-11 (Deutsche Bank): Hold, PT raised $16 → $18.

Wall Street pros/cons view based on these notes:

Pros: Targets moving up suggests analysts see improved medium-term value vs prior assumptions.
Cons: Rating split (Buy vs Hold) implies uncertainty; upgrades are incremental and not strong enough to offset the current bearish technicals and weak quarter.

Influential/political trading check:

Congress trading (last 90 days): No data available.
Other influential figure activity provided: NULL.

5 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast SBGI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SBGI is 19.2 USD with a low forecast of 15 USD and a high forecast of 27 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

2 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 13.700

Low

Averages

19.2

High

Current: 13.700

Low

Averages

19.2

High

Guggenheim

Curry Baker

Buy

maintain

$19 -> $20

AI Analysis

2025-11-13

Reason

Guggenheim

Curry Baker

Price Target

$19 -> $20

AI Analysis

2025-11-13

maintain

Buy

Reason

Guggenheim analyst Curry Baker raised the firm's price target on Sinclair to $20 from $19 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after having updated the firm's model to reflect Q3 results and forward looking commentary.

Deutsche Bank

Hold

maintain

$16 -> $18

2025-11-11

Reason

Deutsche Bank

Price Target

$16 -> $18

2025-11-11

maintain

Hold

Reason

Deutsche Bank raised the firm's price target on Sinclair to $18 from $16 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares.

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SBGI Should I Buy

SBGI Should I Buy

Should You Buy Sinclair Inc (SBGI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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