ROST Should I Buy
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ROST is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The tape is soft (bearish MACD, price below pivot), and while Wall Street remains broadly bullish, the stock lacks a strong “buy-now” timing trigger. A better immediate setup would be either (1) a reclaim of ~189–193 (pivot/R1) showing momentum returning, or (2) a dip closer to ~183–185 (S1/S2) where risk/reward improves.
Trend/price action: ROST at 187.1 is trading below the key pivot (189.294), with first support nearby at 185.386 (S1) and deeper support at 182.972 (S2). Near-term resistance is 193.202 (R1) then 195.616 (R2). Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-1.082) and still below zero (bearish), though “negatively contracting” suggests downside momentum may be easing. RSI(6) at ~41.6 is neutral-to-slightly weak (not oversold), implying there’s room to fall before a classic oversold bounce is forced. Moving averages: Converging MAs indicate consolidation/indecision rather than a clean uptrend continuation. Probabilistic pattern read: Similar-candlestick analysis implies mild bullish drift (60% chance of +1.69% next day; +3.09% next week; +6.22% next month), but this is not strong enough to override the current bearish momentum read.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Macro/consumer tailwinds: News flow highlights that wealthier shoppers may benefit from President Trump’s new tax bill (larger refunds), which can support discretionary/off-price demand.
Analyst support: Multiple firms are constructive into 2026 with raised price targets and several Buy/Overweight ratings; JPMorgan even added ROST to its Analyst Focus List.
Fundamentals (recent quarter): Solid top-line growth and EPS growth keep the longer-term bull case intact.
or 183 (S
before a clean push higher.
Latest reported quarter: 2026/Q3. Growth: Revenue rose to 5.6009B (+10.44% YoY). Net income increased to 511.9M (+4.73% YoY). EPS increased to 1.58 (+6.76% YoY). Quality/mix: Growth is positive, but profitability expansion lagged sales because gross margin declined to 28% (-1.20% YoY). Net: good growth profile with some margin compression to monitor.
Recent trend: Clear upward bias in targets and generally supportive ratings. JPMorgan raised PT to 215 (Overweight) and added ROST to its Focus List; Deutsche resumed at Buy with 221; Barclays raised to 205 (Overweight); Wells Fargo and Baird raised to 200 (Overweight/Outperform); TD Cowen raised to 203 (Buy); Guggenheim initiated Buy at 199. More cautious voices (UBS Neutral at 181; Bernstein Market Perform at 170) still exist but are in the minority. Wall Street pros: Off-price model durability, inventory discipline, and potential macro tailwinds (tax refunds, lower rates/gas, easier compares) supporting comps and earnings momentum. Wall Street cons: Demand uncertainty and the need for stock selection in retail; margin pressure (gross margin down YoY) could limit multiple expansion. Influential trading check: No notable hedge fund/insider trend signals provided (both neutral), and no congress trading data in the last 90 days.
