RNST Should I Buy
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RNST is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor looking to enter immediately. While the broader trend is still constructive (bullish moving-average stack) and fundamentals/news are supportive, near-term signals are mixed and the pattern-based forecast points to further downside over the next week/month. A better risk/reward entry would be closer to support (~35.75), not at 37.63 after a mild pullback with momentum cooling.
Trend & momentum: RNST remains in an overall uptrend with bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), which is a positive medium-term structure. However, momentum is not accelerating: MACD histogram is positive (0.111) but contracting, suggesting upside momentum is fading rather than building. RSI(6) at 54.42 is neutral—no oversold condition to justify an impatient “buy the dip” entry. Key levels: Pivot 37.217 is the immediate line to hold; price at 37.63 is only slightly above it. Resistance sits at R1 38.688 (then R2 39.597). Support levels are S1 35.747 (then S2 34.838). Near-term probabilistic trend (similar candlestick analogs) is bearish: ~80% chance of -0.91% next day, -2.61% next week, -6.72% next month.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Strong Q4 beat: Q4 non-GAAP EPS 0.91 beat by 0.11; revenue 278.52M beat expectations with +66.7% YoY growth.
Profitability improving: commentary points to better profitability metrics (e.g., improved ROA) and repricing/NIM tailwinds.
Cost actions: expects core noninterest expense down $2M–$3M in Q1
Shareholder returns: ongoing buybacks into
Management outlook: mid-single-digit loan growth target for 2026 supports a continued growth narrative.
Near-term technical risk: momentum is cooling (contracting positive MACD) and the analog-pattern model points to likely drawdown over 1 week to 1 month.
Valuation/profit-growth concerns flagged in commentary despite strong prints, implying the market may already be discounting much of the good news.
No supportive proprietary timing signals (no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax entry), reducing confidence in a “buy right now” timing call.
Latest quarter (2025/Q4): Revenue 270.494M (+67.91% YoY), Net Income 78.948M (+76.44% YoY), EPS 0.83 (+18.57% YoY). This is a strong growth quarter (notably revenue and net income acceleration), consistent with post-merger uplift and improved profitability. The growth trend is clearly positive, but the market’s focus may shift to forward growth pace (loan growth guidance and profitability sustainability) after the big YoY comps.
Recent trend: TD Cowen reiterated Buy and raised price targets twice in January 2026 (to $45 on 2026-01-07, then to $46 on 2026-01-29). Wall Street pros: improving profitability metrics, repricing/NIM tailwinds, balance sheet growth, and buybacks support upside toward the mid-40s PT zone. Cons: external commentary highlights concerns around slowing profit growth and valuation even after a strong quarter, suggesting upside may be less immediate and more sensitive to execution on 2026 guidance. Influential/politician activity: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are neutral with no significant recent trends.
