REXR Should I Buy
-
$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
ET
Loading...
REXR is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. Price is sitting right at the pivot (39.9) with weakening momentum, heavy recent institutional/insider selling, and options flow skewed bearish on volume. While fundamentals are improving and the next-month pattern skews modestly positive, the current setup does not offer an attractive immediate entry; I would stay on the sidelines (hold/avoid new buys) until price either reclaims resistance (40.9–41.5) or flushes toward support (~38.9–38.3) and stabilizes.
Trend/Momentum: Neutral-to-slightly bearish. MACD histogram is slightly below zero (-0.00238) and still negative (though contracting), suggesting downside momentum is present but fading. RSI(6) ~50.9 is neutral (no oversold bounce signal). Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation rather than a clean uptrend. Key levels: Pivot 39.9 is essentially current price (39.79), so the market is indecisive. Near-term support: S1 38.93 then S2 38.32. Resistance: R1 40.87 then R2 41.48. A break below ~38.9 would likely invite further selling; a close above ~40.9 would improve the technical picture. Pattern-based odds (provided): 60% chance of -1.01% next day, ~+0.42% next week, ~+4.32% next month—i.e., near-term chop/down first, then gradual improvement.
Fundamentals for high-quality industrial REITs are described as improving as new supply slows and demand stays steady (Truist commentary).
Next earnings: QDEC 2025 on 2026-02-04 (after hours) can be a catalyst if leasing/rent spreads and guidance improve.
Interest-rate declines would typically support REIT valuations (sector tailwind mentioned by Evercore).
Trading trends are decisively negative: Hedge funds are selling aggressively (selling amount up 9827.39% QoQ) and insiders are selling (up 140.55% MoM), which is a strong near-term sentiment headwind.
Options flow today is put-heavy (volume P/C 8.8), aligning with near-term downside/hedging pressure.
Analyst targets have generally been trimmed recently, suggesting limited near-term upside and/or a more conservative outlook.
Profitability pressure: gross margin declined YoY (despite revenue and earnings growth), which can weigh on sentiment if it persists.
Sector view: multiple firms frame industrial REIT risk/reward as balanced with valuations already reflecting improvements (i.e., less obvious mispricing).
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue grew to $253.24M (+4.71% YoY), Net Income rose to $87.09M (+33.85% YoY), and EPS increased to $0.37 (+23.33% YoY). The main blemish is profitability efficiency: Gross Margin fell to 45.09% (-7.37% YoY). Overall: solid top-line and bottom-line growth, but margin compression is a caution flag. Congress trading: No recent congress trading data available.
Recent trend: Mostly Neutral/Market Perform/In Line with multiple price-target cuts, indicating Wall Street is tempering expectations.
