REG Should I Buy
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REG is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The setup is mildly bullish but the stock is sitting just under near-term resistance ($71.97–$72.61), options positioning is defensive (put-heavy open interest), and insider selling has accelerated. I would hold off until REG either breaks and holds above ~$72.60 or pulls back closer to support ($70.90/$69.90) to improve risk/reward.
Trend/price action: REG at $71.72 is trading just below R1 ($71.97) and near R2 ($72.61), with pivot support at ~$70.94 and S1 at ~$69.92. This is a near-resistance location, which is not ideal for an impatient entry. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.121) and expanding, supporting a continued upward bias. RSI(6) at 64.55 is neutral-to-warm (not overbought) but suggests limited immediate upside before momentum stretches. Moving averages: Converging MAs suggests consolidation/indecision rather than a clean trend acceleration. Pattern-based drift: Similar-pattern stats imply slightly negative next week (-0.15%) and only modest next-month upside (+1.07%), which does not support chasing at resistance.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Analyst support skewing higher recently: Deutsche Bank upgrade to Buy ($
and Morgan Stanley reiterated Overweight/Top Pick with $85, implying meaningful upside vs $71.
Defensive fundamentals: “Best-in-class” grocery-anchored portfolio narrative supports steady occupancy/rent growth.
Earnings catalyst: Next earnings on 2026-02-05 (AH) could re-rate shares if FFO/NOI trends surprise positively.
Insider selling: Insiders are net sellers, with selling amount up ~248.7% over the last month—often a near-term confidence headwind.
Valuation concerns cited by the Street: Mizuho downgrade referenced premium valuation and slowing growth/‘peak fundamentals’ for the shopping center group.
Options market caution: Put-heavy open interest (P/C 1.
plus elevated IV suggests hedging demand and less bullish conviction.
Technical location: Price is pressing resistance ($71.97–$72.61); failure to break can trigger a pullback toward ~$70.94/$69.92.
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth trends: Revenue $387.57M (+7.58% YoY), net income $105.96M (+8.06% YoY), EPS $0.58 (+7.41% YoY). Gross margin improved to 44.44 (+4.56% YoY). This is steady mid-single-digit growth with improving profitability—fundamentally supportive, but not a ‘re-acceleration’ profile that typically justifies paying up at resistance. Event timing: Next earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-05 after hours (EPS est. 1.17).
Recent trend: Mixed but improving at the high end. Over the past ~6 weeks, REG saw notable bullish actions (Morgan Stanley Top Pick/Overweight with $85; Deutsche Bank upgrade to Buy with $83; Barclays upgrade to Overweight with $82), alongside several cautionary moves (JPMorgan downgrade to Neutral $76; Mizuho downgrade to Neutral $74; UBS Neutral with PT cut to $75; KeyBanc downgrade to Sector Weight). Wall Street pros: Best-in-class grocery-anchored assets, strong balance sheet/management execution, and steady organic growth. Wall Street cons: Premium valuation vs peers/bonds, sector potentially at peak fundamentals (occupancy near highs), and expectations for slowing growth—limiting upside unless earnings deliver upside surprises. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge fund stance listed as Neutral.
