Should I Buy RDWR? RDWR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Radware Ltd (RDWR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

25.030

1 Day change

3.52%

52 Week Range

31.570

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry. RDWR is trading below its pivot (24.602) with weakening momentum and notably bearish options positioning (high put/call ratios). With no Intellectia buy signals and limited near-term catalysts until earnings (2026-02-11 pre-market), the risk/reward favors waiting rather than buying immediately.

Technical Analysis

Price/Momentum: RDWR at 24.07 (-0.78%) is below the pivot (24.602), implying near-term bearish/neutral bias.

MACD: Histogram slightly > 0 (0.000531) but positively contracting, suggesting upside momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
RSI(6): 41.77 (neutral-to-weak), consistent with mild bearish pressure but not deeply oversold.
Moving averages: Converging MAs point to consolidation/range behavior rather than a strong trend.
Key levels: Support S1 23.779 then S2 23.27; Resistance R1 25.425 then R2 25.934. Current price is closer to support than resistance, but has not shown a confirmed reversal.
Pattern-based forecast: 80% chance of -0.59% next day, ~flat next week (-0.05%), and +2.85% next month—suggesting limited immediate upside and better odds of improvement on a longer swing.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is bearish/defensive:

Put-heavy positioning: OI put/call at 1.42 and volume put/call at 4.0 indicate traders are skewed toward puts (hedging or bearish bets).
Volume spike: Today’s options volume is ~166.67% of the 30-day average, so the bearish tilt is meaningful (not just low-liquidity noise).
Volatility: 30D IV (32.86) is only modestly above historical vol (30.55), while IV percentile (24.8) / IV rank (4.97) suggest IV is relatively low versus its own history—options are not pricing a big move, despite the put skew.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

showed strong growth: revenue +8.38% YoY, net income +79.71% YoY, EPS +85.71% YoY.
on 2026-02-11 pre-market.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Bearish options skew (high put/call ratios) implies cautious-to-negative sentiment.
Technical setup is weak-to-neutral: price below pivot and MACD momentum contracting.
Analyst stance is not supportive of near-term upside: Jefferies is Hold with a $25 target (only slightly above 24.07).
No Intellectia buy signals (AI Stock Picker and SwingMax both show no signal), reducing confidence in timing an immediate entry.
No near-term news/catalyst in the past week to drive an upside rerating before earnings.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.

Revenue: 75.311M, +8.38% YoY (steady top-line growth).
Net income: 5.65M, +79.71% YoY (strong profitability improvement).
EPS: 0.13, +85.71% YoY (earnings leverage improving).
Gross margin: 80.66%, -0.09% YoY (essentially flat; slight compression but not material). Overall: fundamentals are improving meaningfully on earnings, but the market/positioning data suggests that improvement is not translating into strong near-term bullish conviction.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent change: On 2025-12-16, Jefferies lowered the price target to $25 from $30 and maintained a Hold rating. Wall Street pros (bull case): Cybersecurity demand tends to be resilient; RDWR’s Q3 showed strong YoY profit and EPS growth. Wall Street cons (bear case): Target cut signals lowered upside expectations; Jefferies expects cyber names to likely lag a broader AI-driven software rebound, limiting near-term multiple expansion. Influential / politician activity: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are neutral with no significant recent trends.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast RDWR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RDWR is 30 USD with a low forecast of 25 USD and a high forecast of 35 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 24.180

Low

Averages

High

Current: 24.180

Low

Averages

High

Jefferies

Hold

downgrade

$30 -> $25

AI Analysis

2025-12-16

Reason

Jefferies

Price Target

$30 -> $25

AI Analysis

2025-12-16

downgrade

Hold

Reason

Jefferies lowered the firm's price target on Radware to $25 from $30 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. Cyber security software names should remain resilient in 2026 based on strong fundamentals, but likely lag any potential material broader AI-driven software rebound, the analyst tells investors in a year-ahead note for the group.

Jefferies

Hold

maintain

$25 -> $30

2025-07-24

Reason

Jefferies

Price Target

$25 -> $30

2025-07-24

maintain

Hold

Reason

Jefferies raised the firm's price target on Radware to $30 from $25 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm believes cybersecurity spend will remain "robust" and continue to hold a "steady percentage" of software budgets in the coming years. Jefferies keeps a favorable view on security for the long-term saying it has taken on greater importance.

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RDWR Should I Buy

RDWR Should I Buy

Should You Buy Radware Ltd (RDWR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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