RCL Should I Buy
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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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BUY now. Despite today’s -6.9% pullback, the broader trend remains bullish (strong moving-average stack and expanding positive MACD). Earnings/news flow is fundamentally supportive (record 2025 revenue, strong 2026 EPS guide, strong booking posture), Wall Street just raised price targets meaningfully, and Congress buying is a bullish secondary signal. The main near-term risks are profit-taking after the recent spike, hedge funds reducing exposure, and cruise supply/competitive pressure into early 2026—but for an impatient buyer, the current dip still offers a reasonable entry while price remains above the ~303 pivot support zone.
Trend is bullish but extended: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 confirms an uptrend across short/medium/long horizons. MACD histogram at +4.37 and expanding indicates strengthening upside momentum. RSI_6 at ~66.9 is near the upper end of neutral (not yet overbought, but close), which fits a stock that can chop/pull back after a sharp move. Key levels: Pivot support ~303.4 (important near-term line); resistance R1 ~336.7 then R2 ~357.3. With price ~322, the stock is between pivot and R1—constructive setup, but expect volatility and potential retest toward the low-300s.
Q4/2025 results show strong operating momentum (double-digit revenue growth and strong EPS growth) and the company highlighted robust demand signals (nearly two-thirds booked for 2026). Guidance/outsized medium-term story: 2026 EPS outlook of ~$17.70–$18.10 supports the bull case, and multiple banks raised targets on/after the report (Barclays, JPMorgan, Mizuho). Congress trading over the last 90 days shows 4 purchases and 0 sales (net bullish). Technical trend remains upward (bullish MA stack; positive/expanding MACD).
Today’s sharp drop (-6.9% regular session, further weakness pre-market) signals profit-taking/volatility after a big earnings-driven move, raising the chance of a near-term pullback toward support. Hedge funds are selling and the selling amount increased ~107% over the last quarter (institutional de-risking signal). Cruise industry commentary points to supply/competition pressure (notably Caribbean crowding and Wave Season promotions), with some analysts urging lower expectations for 1H net yield growth. Options open interest put/call > 1 implies meaningful hedging demand remains in place.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4. Revenue $4.259B (+13.27% YoY), Net Income $754M (+36.59% YoY), EPS $2.76 (+36.63% YoY), Gross Margin 36.75% (+6.21% YoY). The growth mix (EPS and net income outpacing revenue) indicates improving operating leverage/margins, consistent with a fundamentally strengthening cycle heading into 2026 guidance.
Recent trend is improving: after several December/early-January price target cuts on 2026 competition/supply concerns, the tone flipped into late January with multiple upward revisions and reiterated bullish ratings post-Q4 (e.g., Barclays to $361 Overweight; JPMorgan to $368 Overweight; Mizuho to $381 Outperform; Goldman raised to $310 Buy). The key Wall Street bull case: accelerating momentum, strong booking visibility, and earnings power into 2026+. The key bear/hold view (e.g., Truist Hold; some cautious notes): near-term Caribbean supply pressure and potentially conservative first-half net yield growth, which can cap upside and create interim drawdowns.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals:
