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Buy now. Despite today’s -2% pullback, Q is still in a bullish technical structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and sits just below the key pivot (~99.87), which is a reasonable “impatient” entry zone. Near-term sector/news flow is supportive (TSMC 2026 capex uplift), and Wall Street sentiment skews positive with multiple Buy/Outperform ratings and price targets mostly above the current ~$98.98. The main near-term risk is a choppy pre-earnings tape into the 2026-02-17 (after-hours) print, but the current setup remains favorable versus upside levels at ~105.5 and ~109.
Trend/Structure: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests the primary trend remains up even after today’s decline. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.334) but contracting, implying upside momentum is cooling rather than reversing decisively. RSI: RSI_6 at ~52 is neutral—no overbought/oversold edge. Key Levels: Pivot ~99.87 (price is slightly below, acting as immediate decision point). Support at ~94.24 (S1) then ~90.77 (S2). Resistance at ~105.49 (R1) then ~108.96 (R2). A rebound back above the pivot improves odds of a push toward 105–109. Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern analysis implies modest upside bias over 1 week (+4.69%) but flatter/slightly negative over 1 month (-0.73%), consistent with potential pre-earnings chop.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals No signal on given stock today.
Sector demand catalyst: TSMC planning to raise 2026 capex to $52B–$56B, which historically supports semi equipment/materials names.
Industry momentum: Reports of semiconductor equipment stocks surging on the capex news may provide sympathy flows.
Analyst support: Recent RBC target raise to $118 with Outperform; multiple Buy/Outperform ratings reinforce constructive sentiment into 2026 improvement themes.
Upcoming event: Earnings on 2026-02-17 (after hours) can act as a catalyst if guidance confirms improving 2026 dynamics.
can create volatility; guidance disappointment would pressure the stock.
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3. Revenue $1.276B, Net Income $211M, EPS $1.01, Gross Margin 41.07%. Reported YoY growth rates are effectively flat (0.00% YoY shown across metrics), indicating stabilization rather than acceleration in that quarter—supportive for a base, but not a clear growth re-acceleration signal from the data provided.
Recent trend: Ratings skew positive (Buy/Outperform). Price targets have been mixed but are generally supportive: RBC lowered to $110 (Nov 2025) amid sector weakness, then raised to $118 (Jan 2026) while keeping Outperform. Mizuho trimmed PT to $100 (Nov 2025) but maintained Outperform. Deutsche Bank initiated Buy with a $92 PT (Nov 2025), and Spin-Off Research upgraded to Buy with a $92 PT. Wall Street pros: Exposure to leading-edge/advanced node spending, expectation to outgrow the industry, and company-specific improvement drivers into 2026. Wall Street cons: Cyclical/visibility risk tied to semiconductor growth outlook and sentiment risk around AI-related spending expectations. Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; no notable hedge fund/insider trend flagged (both neutral).