POST Should I Buy
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POST is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The stock is sitting right on the pivot (~98.8) with a still-bearish longer-term trend (SMA200 > SMA20 > SMA5) and no supportive Intellectia signals. While short-term momentum is trying to turn (MACD improving), the options positioning is defensive (high put open-interest skew), and recent analyst updates largely reflect lowered targets tied to softer outlook/volume headwinds. I would rate this a HOLD rather than an immediate BUY at ~98.93.
Trend/structure: The moving average stack is bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling the broader trend is still down/weak despite recent stabilization. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0887) and expanding, indicating improving short-term momentum; RSI(6) at ~54 is neutral—no overbought/oversold edge. Levels: Pivot 98.8 is being tested. Near resistance is R1 ~100.47 (then R2 ~101.50). Support sits at S1 ~97.13 (then S2 ~96.10). A convincing move and hold above ~100.5 would improve the near-term setup; a breakdown below ~97.1 would likely accelerate weakness. Pattern-based odds (similar candlesticks): model suggests ~70% chance of about -0.32% next day, +2.5% next week, +6.34% next month—constructive medium-term but not a clean immediate entry.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
Upcoming earnings: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-05 after hours (EPS est. 1.
can act as a catalyst if margins/profitability stabilize.
MACD turning positive suggests short-term momentum is improving, raising odds of a rebound if price reclaims ~100.
Analysts still maintain generally constructive ratings (Overweight/Outperform on two major notes), supporting the longer-term thesis if execution improves.
Trend remains bearish on moving averages (SMA200 > SMA20 > SMA5), which often caps rallies until structure improves.
Options positioning is defensive: high put open-interest skew (OI put/call 3.
implies meaningful hedging/bearish bias.
Recent analyst price-target cuts cite soft FY26 outlook and persistent volume headwinds—near-term narrative is not improving.
Profitability pressure in the latest quarter (net income, EPS, and gross margin down YoY) increases the risk of a negative earnings reaction.
News provided does not contain POST-specific positives; no fresh event-driven upside catalyst is evident from the news summary.
Latest quarter (2025/Q4): Revenue grew to $2.247B (+11.79% YoY), but profitability weakened: Net income $51M (-37.50% YoY), EPS $0.88 (-31.25% YoY), and gross margin 24.43% (-7.22% YoY). The mix is growth in sales but deteriorating margins/earnings—good for scale, but not yet translating into higher shareholder earnings power. Next key checkpoint is the QDEC 2025 report on 2026-02-05 after hours.
Recent trend: price targets were lowered across multiple firms in late Nov 2025, while ratings mostly stayed constructive.
