Should I Buy PKX? PKX 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Posco Holdings Inc (PKX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

63.270

1 Day change

1.88%

52 Week Range

65.490

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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PKX is not a good buy right now for an impatient trader. Despite a bullish moving-average stack, the near-term setup is weakened by contracting momentum, bearish options flow (heavy put volume), a negative statistical forward-trend read, and fundamentally deteriorating earnings. I would avoid new buys here and prefer to be out/trim ahead of the next earnings catalyst unless price can regain the ~64.6 resistance zone decisively.

Technical Analysis

Trend/price context (pre-market): Trading around 60 pre-market (-2.80%), sitting just below the pivot (60.612), which raises the risk of testing lower supports.

Momentum:

MACD: Histogram positive (0.553) but contracting, implying upside momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
RSI(6): 54.18 (neutral) — no oversold bounce signal, no strong breakout confirmation.

Trend structure (moving averages):

SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 is technically bullish, but with price slipping toward the pivot, this looks more like a late-stage uptrend/possible consolidation rather than a fresh entry.

Key levels:

Pivot: 60.612 (currently below/near it pre-market)
Resistance: 64.564 (R1), then 67.005 (R2)
Support: 56.66 (S1), then 54.219 (S2)

Quant/Pattern forward read: Similar-candlestick analog suggests ~60% chance of -1.98% next day, -1.3% next week, -13.52% next month — not aligned with an “impatient buy-now” approach.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment from options:

Open Interest Put/Call = 0.28: positioning skewed toward calls on an OI basis (typically bullish longer-horizon positioning).
Option Volume Put/Call = 12.2 with today volume far above avg (~253.85%): strong near-term bearish flow (puts dominating trading activity today).
IV picture: 30D IV ~35.51 vs HV ~42.54, with low IV rank/percentile (IV rank 6.8; percentile 26.4). Options aren’t pricing extreme fear broadly, but today’s flow is clearly defensive/bearish.

Net takeaway: Near-term traders are leaning bearish (heavy put volume), even if standing positioning (OI) looks more call-leaning.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Lithium exposure / strategic expansion: Acquisition of a 30% stake in Mineral Resources’ Australian lithium unit ($765M) supports longer-term battery-materials optionality; Morgan Stanley noted lithium price rises may attract investor interest.
- Technically still in a broader bullish MA structure: SMA alignment remains constructive if price can reclaim the pivot and break above ~64.6.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

scheduled 2026-02-02 pre-market, which can amplify moves and complicate an impatient entry.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3

Revenue: 12,449,682,249.36 (-8.02% YoY)
Net Income: 303,538,273.56 (-9.23% YoY)
EPS: 4.01 (-4.75% YoY)
Gross Margin: 8.2 (down ~0.24 YoY)

Growth read: Broad deceleration across revenue, earnings, and margin indicates weakening operating leverage—consistent with the negative FY2025 profitability headlines. This backdrop reduces the probability that dips are immediately bought for a fast upside move.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

On 2026-01-29, Morgan Stanley downgraded PKX to Equal Weight from Overweight while raising the price target to KRW 380,000 from KRW 360,000. The message is mixed: lithium exposure could support sentiment if lithium prices rise, but Wall Street’s key concern is that the core steel earnings/margin recovery is slower, limiting near-term upside.

Wall Street pros: lithium optionality + strategic investment; potential interest if lithium prices strengthen. Wall Street cons: steel-cycle recovery lagging; limited scope for material upside in the near term.

Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge fund and insider activity shown as neutral with no significant recent trend.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast PKX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PKX is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 62.100

Low

Averages

High

Current: 62.100

Low

Averages

High

Morgan Stanley

Overweight

Equal Weight

downgrade

AI Analysis

2026-01-29

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

AI Analysis

2026-01-29

downgrade

Overweight

Equal Weight

Reason

Morgan Stanley downgraded Posco to Equal Weight from Overweight with a price target of KRW 380,000, up from KRW 360,000. The recent rise in lithium prices may drive investor interest given Posco's lithium exposure, but recovery in its core steel earnings and margins is more gradual than expected, which the firm sees limiting scope for material upside, the analyst tells investors.

Morgan Stanley

Young Suk Shin

Equal Weight -> Overweight

upgrade

2025-07-04

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Young Suk Shin

Price Target

2025-07-04

upgrade

Equal Weight -> Overweight

Reason

Morgan Stanley analyst Young Suk Shin upgraded Posco to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of KRW 410,000, up from KRW 280,000. More headlines regarding China's steel production cuts and what the firm sees as a "high likelihood" of additional anti dumping duty announcements in the region make it "more constructive" on Posco and a more sustainable path for the company's steel earnings and margin recovery outlook, the analyst tells investors.

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PKX Should I Buy

PKX Should I Buy

Should You Buy Posco Holdings Inc (PKX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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