Should I Buy PECO? PECO 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Phillips Edison & Co Inc (PECO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

37.530

1 Day change

-0.77%

52 Week Range

38.670

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. PECO is in a technically bullish uptrend, but it’s trading right into nearby resistance (pre-market $35.98 vs R1 $35.924 and R2 $36.182) while pattern-based forward odds skew negative (next day/week/month). With no proprietary buy signals today and elevated implied volatility, the risk/reward for buying immediately is unattractive; I would hold off rather than chase this level.

Technical Analysis

Trend is bullish but near-term entry is poor.

Moving averages: Bullish stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) confirms an established uptrend.
MACD: Histogram positive (0.0276) and expanding, supporting continuation.
RSI(6): 65.77 (upper-neutral/approaching overbought), suggesting momentum is strong but not giving a fresh low-risk entry.
Levels: Pivot 35.508; price 35.98 is above pivot and basically at/just above R1 35.924 with R2 at 36.182 overhead. This is a common area for stalls/pullbacks.
Quant/pattern read-through: Similar-pattern model implies downside bias (80% chance of -1.5% next day, -1.38% next week, -6.29% next month), which conflicts with the bullish MA/MACD backdrop and argues against buying right into resistance.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/sentiment: Open-interest put/call ratio of 0.33 is call-heavy (bullish/less hedging), but today’s option volume is extremely light (3 calls, 0 puts), so the signal quality is low.
Volatility: 30D IV ~58.76 with IV percentile 94 (very elevated versus its own history), meaning options are pricing a larger-than-usual move. Elevated IV can coincide with event-risk or uncertainty and often makes buying here less appealing on a risk-adjusted basis.
Takeaway: Mildly bullish skew in open interest, but thin volume + very high IV suggests caution and limited confirmation of a strong “buy now” setup.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Fundamental momentum: 2025/Q3 showed strong YoY growth in revenue, net income, and EPS.
- Analyst targets trending up recently (multiple price-target raises into early Jan 2026).
- Macro/sector backdrop per UBS: expectation for improving REIT conditions later in 2026, with Shopping Centers mentioned as a favored area.
- Upcoming event: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-05 (after hours) could be a catalyst if results/guide surprise positively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Entry timing: Price is pressing into resistance (R1/R2 zone), increasing odds of a near-term pullback.
- Forward pattern probabilities skew negative over the next day/week/month.
- No near-term news flow in the past week to provide a fresh catalyst.
- Options IV is extremely elevated (IV percentile 94), implying higher priced-in uncertainty.
- Sentiment/positioning: Hedge funds and insiders show Neutral activity (no strong accumulation signal).
- Earnings timing: With earnings on 2026-02-05, pre-earnings positioning can be choppy; high IV suggests the market is already bracing for movement.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.

Revenue: $182.669M, +10.36% YoY (solid top-line growth).
Net income: $24.685M, +112.77% YoY (very strong improvement).
EPS: $0.20, +122.22% YoY (strong profitability per share).
Gross margin: 71.08%, -0.28% YoY (slight margin compression, but still high). Overall: Growth trend is strong in Q3 2025, supporting the longer-term bullish trend, but it doesn’t override the near-term “buying into resistance” setup.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: price targets have been raised repeatedly (Morgan Stanley to $37, UBS to $38, Mizuho to $39, Barclays up to $42), indicating improving confidence in value/earnings durability. Ratings mix: Mostly Neutral/Equal Weight (UBS Neutral; Morgan Stanley Equal Weight; Barclays Equal Weight) with Mizuho Outperform. Wall Street pros: consistent target raises; recognition of PECO’s internal/external growth execution and differentiated strategy; shopping center REITs seen as relatively resilient. Wall Street cons: sector-level caution from Mizuho (shopping center REITs may be at “peak fundamentals” with occupancy near highs); several firms still won’t move beyond neutral-weighting despite higher targets. Influential trading: No recent congress trading data available; insider and hedge fund trends are Neutral.

8 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast PECO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PECO is 39.29 USD with a low forecast of 36 USD and a high forecast of 43 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

6 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 37.820

Low

Averages

39.29

High

Current: 37.820

Low

Averages

39.29

High

Evercore ISI

NULL

Outperform

maintain

$41 -> $42

AI Analysis

2026-02-06

New

Reason

Evercore ISI

Price Target

$41 -> $42

AI Analysis

2026-02-06

New

maintain

NULL

Outperform

Reason

Evercore ISI raised the firm's price target on Phillips Edison to $42 from $41 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q4 report.

Mizuho

Outperform

maintain

$37 -> $39

2026-01-09

Reason

Mizuho

Price Target

$37 -> $39

2026-01-09

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Mizuho raised the firm's price target on Phillips Edison to $39 from $37 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm downgraded the shopping center real estate investment trust sector to Neutral, believing the group has reached peak fundamentals with portfolios approaching or surpassing all-time high occupancy levels.

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PECO Should I Buy

PECO Should I Buy

Should You Buy Phillips Edison & Co Inc (PECO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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