OUT Should I Buy
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OUT is not a good buy right now. Despite a bullish medium/long-term structure (SMA5>SMA20>SMA200) and a clear wave of Wall Street upgrades/raised targets, the near-term tape is weakening (MACD histogram below zero and getting more negative) and price is sitting just below the key pivot (24.817), making risk/reward unattractive for an impatient entry. With no Intellectia buy signals today and a recent full liquidation by GraniteShares adding supply/overhang, the better call is HOLD rather than buying immediately.
Trend is bullish on moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting the broader uptrend remains intact. However, momentum is slipping: MACD histogram is -0.0818 and negatively expanding (bearish short-term momentum), while RSI(6) at 49.2 is neutral (no oversold bounce signal). Price (24.58 pre-market) is below the pivot 24.817, implying overhead resistance. Key levels: support S1 24.313 then S2 24.001; resistance R1 25.321 then R2 25.633. Near-term bias: choppy to slightly down until it reclaims the pivot/holds support. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: - AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today. - SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Strong Street momentum: multiple upgrades to Overweight/Buy and price targets lifted (roughly $23–$28 range), citing transit inflection and digital billboards as drivers.
Fundamental momentum: Q3 showed YoY expansion in revenue and sharp profit/EPS growth with higher gross margin.
Macro/event tailwinds highlighted by analysts: stronger 2026 ad spend outlook, plus cyclical catalysts (midterms, FIFA World Cup exposure in key markets).
Pattern-based projection provided: +1.11% next week and +18.86% next month odds skew positive (per similar candlestick analysis).
Near-term technical momentum weakening (MACD negative and deteriorating) while price is below pivot resistance—higher chance of a pullback or range chop.
Institutional headline: GraniteShares Advisors fully liquidated 171,052 shares (~$3.13M), a negative sentiment/flow data point.
Options are expensive (IV percentile ~84.7), implying less favorable new long entry timing if a catalyst is already priced.
Next earnings (2026-02-25 after hours) can create uncertainty/positioning swings ahead of the report.
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to $467.5M (+3.45% YoY), while profitability improved sharply: net income $49.1M (+51.54% YoY) and EPS $0.29 (+45% YoY). Gross margin expanded to 42.1% (+4.83% YoY). Takeaway: modest top-line growth but strong operating/profit leverage and improving margins—supportive for the bull case.
Recent trend is clearly improving: a sequence of upgrades and target raises from major firms (JPMorgan to Overweight PT $25; Morgan Stanley to Overweight PT $28; Wells Fargo Overweight PT $27; TD Cowen to Buy PT $24; Citi Buy PT $23; Barrington Outperform PT $23). Wall Street pros: transit contract/momentum improvement (notably NYC MTA), digital billboard growth, resilience of out-of-home advertising, and 2026 cyclical tailwinds. Cons: after a strong run, near-term momentum is fading technically, and recent fund liquidation suggests some investors are rotating out—so upside may require a cleaner technical setup or fresh catalyst execution.
